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The impact of vaccinations and chronic disease on COVID death rates

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  • James L. Doti

    (Chapman University)

Abstract

This study presents a theoretical and empirical regression model to measure the efficacy of vaccinations in reducing COVID death rates across states over the 3/10/21 to 12/28/22 period. During that period, it was estimated that the availability of vaccinations resulted in a reduction of 427,000 COVID deaths in the nation. To arrive at that estimate, other covariants were held constant. In particular, it was found that chronic disease should be included as an explanatory variable to arrive at unbiased measures of the efficacy of vaccinations in reducing deaths. In addition, the percentage of people over the age of 65 was found to be highly significant. The only ethnic/racial characteristic that was significant in explaining COVID deaths was the percentage of American Indians/Alaska Natives residing in a state. Other ethnic/racial characteristics, as well as variables representing population, density, governmental stringency, and income, were not significant over the period tested.

Suggested Citation

  • James L. Doti, 2023. "The impact of vaccinations and chronic disease on COVID death rates," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 239-269, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jbioec:v:25:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s10818-023-09339-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10818-023-09339-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J., 2022. "Vaccination rates and COVID outcomes across U.S. states," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    2. Marina Mileo Gorzig & D. L. Feir & Randall Akee & Samuel Myers & Marium Navid & Kai Tiede & Olivia Matzke, 2022. "Native American Age at Death in the USA," Journal of Economics, Race, and Policy, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 194-209, September.
    3. James L. Doti, 2021. "Examining the impact of socioeconomic variables on COVID-19 death rates at the state level," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 15-53, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Death rates; Vaccine; Chronic; Density; Poverty; Stringency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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