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Comparative Analyses Of Fertility Evolution In Iasi County

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  • Ana-Maria AMARIEI (COJOCARIU)

    () (Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi)

Abstract

Iasi County has seen, in the last twenty-three years, a decline of the general fertility rate both in the urban region and in the rural region which leads to a decrease in the number of inhabitants and the aging of the population. The purpose of this study is to compare the trend of the general fertility rate, GFR, among the main age groups of fertile women, between 1990 and 2013. In order to accomplish this goal, we use time series analysis. Our results show that the GFR series presents a decreasing trend, from 70.6 children at 1000 women in 1990 to almost half in 2013. Future studies should investigate the determinant factors of this decline for GFR in Iasi County, we will investigate the influence of income, of unemployment and of level of education on general fertility rate (GFR).

Suggested Citation

  • Ana-Maria AMARIEI (COJOCARIU), 2015. "Comparative Analyses Of Fertility Evolution In Iasi County," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 7(2), pages 224-231, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:jes:wpaper:y:2015:v:7:i:2:p:224-231
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    File URL: http://ceswp.uaic.ro/articles/CESWP2015_VII2_AMA.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bloom, David E. & Sousa-Poza, Alfonso, 2010. "Economic consequences of low fertility in Europe," FZID Discussion Papers 11-2010, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
    2. George Hondroyiannis, 2010. "Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty: An Assessment Using European Panel Data," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 33-50, March.
    3. Jaba, Elisabeta & Balan, Christiana & Roman, Monica & Viorica, Daniela & Roman, Mihai, 2008. "Employment rate prognosis on the basis of the development environment trend displayed by years-clusters," MPRA Paper 20337, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2008.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fertility; GFR; Time Series Analysis; ARIMA;

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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