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Youth bulges and youth unemployment

Author

Listed:
  • David Lam

    (University of Michigan, USA, and IZA, Germany)

Abstract

The youth population bulge is often mentioned in discussions of youth unemployment and unrest in developing countries, most recently in explaining the “Arab Spring.” But the youth share of the population has fallen rapidly in recent decades in most countries, and is projected to continue to fall. Evidence on the link between youth population bulges and youth unemployment is mixed. It should not be assumed that declines in the relative size of the youth population will translate into falling youth unemployment in coming decades without further policy measures to improve the youth labor market.

Suggested Citation

  • David Lam, 2014. "Youth bulges and youth unemployment," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 1-26, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izawol:journl:y:2014:n:26
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zimmermann, Klaus F, 1991. "Ageing and the Labor Market: Age Structure, Cohort Size and Unemployment," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 4(3), pages 177-200, August.
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    4. David G. Blanchflower & Richard B. Freeman, 2000. "Youth Employment and Joblessness in Advanced Countries," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number blan00-1, January-J.
    5. Robert Shimer, 2001. "The Impact of Young Workers on the Aggregate Labor Market," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 116(3), pages 969-1007.
    6. Berger, Mark C, 1985. "The Effect of Cohort Size on Earnings Growth: A Reexamination of the Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(3), pages 561-573, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paulo Anania & Damian B. Sambuo, 2017. "The Co-Operative Enterprise and Youths Employment Creation: Prospects and Challenges, (Reflections from Tanzanian Agricultural Sector)," Noble International Journal of Business and Management Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 1(2), pages 55-67, February.
    2. Ademola Obafemi Young, 2021. "Cohort Size and Unemployment Rate: New Insights from Nigeria," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 13(1), pages 122-151, January.
    3. Schucher, Günter, 2014. "A Ticking "Time Bomb"? Youth Employment Problems in China," GIGA Working Papers 258, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    4. Arsen Tleppayev & Saule Zeinolla, 2025. "Forecasting Youth Unemployment Through Educational and Demographic Indicators: A Panel Time-Series Approach," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-20, July.
    5. Urbánné Mező, Júlia & Udvari, Beáta, 2016. "Munkapiaci rugalmasság és ifjúsági foglalkoztathatóság [Labour-market flexibility and youth employment]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 431-460.
    6. Meltem Dayioglu & Müşerref Küçükbayrak & Semih Tumen, 2022. "The impact of age-specific minimum wages on youth employment and education: a regression discontinuity analysis," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(6), pages 1352-1377, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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