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Kosulluluk Araci Olma Baglaminda Kisa Vadeli Faiz Oranlarinin Hedeflenen Enflasyondan Sapmada Kullanimi: Bounds Test Yaklasimi (Türkiye Örnegi)


  • Res. Ass. Dr. Mahmut ZORTUK

    () (Istanbul Üniversitesi Iktisat Fakültesi Ekonometri Bölümü Ekonometri A.B.D.)


In that study discussed to apply the processing of over-cover and uncover inflation targeting strategy between the year intervals 2001-2006 in Turkey and targeting simultaneously; in the situation of inflation rates, potential production level and exchange rate occur a deviation, how the short run interest rates follow a way that is tried to determine. For determining of inflation rates, also one of the most known ways is Taylor Rule. The processing of Taylor Rule analyzed by helping of Bounds Test, which is a new method comparatively, includes Turkey and understood the result that the mentioning variations, which forms Taylor Rule, effect on the short run interest clearly.

Suggested Citation

  • Res. Ass. Dr. Mahmut ZORTUK, 2007. "Kosulluluk Araci Olma Baglaminda Kisa Vadeli Faiz Oranlarinin Hedeflenen Enflasyondan Sapmada Kullanimi: Bounds Test Yaklasimi (Türkiye Örnegi)," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 6(1), pages 41-68, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ist:ancoec:v:6:y:2007:i:1:p:41-68

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2003. "A Long run structural macroeconometric model of the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(487), pages 412-455, April.
    2. Subramanian S Sriram, 1999. "Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy; An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia," IMF Working Papers 99/173, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1994. "Identification of the long-run and the short-run structure an application to the ISLM model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 7-36, July.
    4. Stephen M. Goldfeld, 1973. "The Demand for Money Revisited," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(3), pages 577-646.
    5. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Mohammad Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 1998. "A structural cointegrating VAR approach to macroeconometric modelling," ESE Discussion Papers 8, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
    6. Choudhry, Taufiq, 1995. "High inflation rates and the long-run money demand function: Evidence from cointegration tests," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 77-91.
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    More about this item


    Taylor Rule; Short Run Interest Rate; Bounds Test; Inflation Targeting; Output Gap; Nominal Exchange Rate; Central Bank; Model of UECM.;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies


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