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Macroeconomic Instability Index and Malaysia Economic Performance

Author

Listed:
  • Venus Khim-Sen Liew
  • Racquel Anak Rowland
  • Puah Chin Hong
  • Jerome Kueh Swee Hui
  • Rossazana Bt Ab Rahim
  • Shirly Wong Siew Ling

Abstract

The economic performance of Malaysia was affected by a series of financial crises that had induced macroeconomic instability in the country, which in turn had immensely dampened the nation’s economic growth rate. No doubt Malaysia needs an indicator to monitor the nation’s economic performance from time to time. This study attempts to construct such indicator known as Macroeconomic Instability Index (MII). The constructed MII shows two significant spikes at 1998 and 2008, which correspond to the Asian Financial Crisis and US Subprime Mortgage respectively, that had resulted in negative growth rate for GDP of Malaysia in 1999 and 2010. Results obtained from further analysis by the ARDL technique show that MII has negative and significance effects on economic performance. Moreover, MII has predictive power against economic performance as early as two periods in advance. The constructed MII could serve as end-product for policy purposes or intermediate-product for other economic and finance studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Racquel Anak Rowland & Puah Chin Hong & Jerome Kueh Swee Hui & Rossazana Bt Ab Rahim & Shirly Wong Siew Ling, 2018. "Macroeconomic Instability Index and Malaysia Economic Performance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(3), pages 179-185, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ibrjnl:v:11:y:2018:i:3:p:179-185
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Mustafa Ismihan & Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan & Aysit Tansel, 2005. "The role of macroeconomic instability in public and private capital accumulation and growth: the case of Turkey 1963-1999," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 239-251.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroeconomic instability index; Malaysia; economic performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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