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The role of macroeconomic instability in public and private capital accumulation and growth: the case of Turkey 1963-1999

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  • Mustafa Ismihan
  • Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan
  • Aysit Tansel

Abstract

This study investigates the empirical relationship(s) between macroeconomic instability, public and private capital accumulation and growth in Turkey over the period 1963-1999. Time series econometric techniques, such as cointegration and impulse response analysis, are used. The results of this paper suggest that the chronic and increasing macroeconomic instability of the Turkish economy has seriously affected her capital formation and growth. Furthermore, the Turkish experience indicates that chronic macroeconomic instability seems to be a serious impediment to public investment, especially to its infrastructural component, and shatters, or even reverses, the complementarity between public and private investment in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Ismihan & Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan & Aysit Tansel, 2005. "The role of macroeconomic instability in public and private capital accumulation and growth: the case of Turkey 1963-1999," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 239-251.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:239-251
    DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000286115
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Katarina Juselius, 2001. "Unit Roots and the Demand for Cigarettes in Turkey: Pitfalls and Possibilities," Discussion Papers 01-02, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Racquel Anak Rowland & Puah Chin Hong & Jerome Kueh Swee Hui & Rossazana Bt Ab Rahim & Shirly Wong Siew Ling, 2018. "Macroeconomic Instability Index and Malaysia Economic Performance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(3), pages 179-185, March.
    2. Sherrill Shaffer, 2009. "Industrial structure and economic stability," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 549-555.
    3. Ward Romp & Jakob De Haan, 2007. "Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Critical Survey," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 8(S1), pages 6-52, April.
    4. Alaaeddin Al-Tarawneh, 2016. "Trade Openness and Real Investment: Is there Asymmetric Cointegration Relationship? Evidence from Jordan," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(8), pages 237-237, August.
    5. Ardic Oya Pinar & Yuzereroglu Uygar, 2009. "How Do Individuals Choose Banks? An Application to Household Level Data from Turkey," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-26, June.
    6. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.
    7. Günçavdi, Öner & Küçük, Ali Erhan, 2013. "Investment expenditure and capital accumulation in an inflationary environment: The case of Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 554-571.
    8. Oner Guncavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 2006. "Financial determinants of private investment in Turkey An Euler Equation Approach to Time Series," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 2(2), pages 71-88, Enero-Jun.
    9. Öner Güncavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 2006. "Financial determinants of private investment in Turkey. An Euler Equation Approach to Time Series," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 2(2), pages 83-106, Enero-Jun.
    10. Fatih Karanfil & Thomas Jobert, 2007. "Sectoral Energy Consumption by Source and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey," Energy and Environmental Modeling 2007 24000019, EcoMod.
    11. Unal Zenginobuz & Sumru Altug, 2009. "What has been the Role of Investment in Turkey's Growth Performance?," Working Papers 2009/02, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.

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