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An Investigation into Real Estate Investment and Economic Growth in China: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

Author

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  • Yu Kong

    (School of Public Affairs, Chongqing University, No. 174 Shazhengjie, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400030, China)

  • John L. Glascock

    (Center for Real Estate and Urban Economic Studies, University of Connecticut, 2100 Hillside Rd, Storrs, CT 06269, USA)

  • Ran Lu-Andrews

    (Center for Real Estate and Urban Economic Studies, University of Connecticut, 2100 Hillside Rd, Storrs, CT 06269, USA)

Abstract

Using a dynamic panel data approach to analyze national-level and province-level data in China from 2000 to 2012, this paper studies how real estate investment affects Chinese economic growth. We find that real estate investment has significantly positive contemporaneous effects on economic growth on both national and regional levels. Surprisingly, we also find that real estate investment has negative lagged effects on economic growth. Such negative lagged effects differ among the three regions we investigated: the eastern region shows the most significant effects from real estate investment; while the middle region shows the least. Further examinations of the four types of real estate investment ( i.e. housing investment, office building investment, investment for commercial and business purposes, and other investment) show that housing investment exhibits the most influence on the economy in China. Additionally, we find that the four types of real estate investment exhibit significantly negative lagged effects on Chinese economic growth and there are regional differences in the repressive effects of the four types of real estate investments on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Kong & John L. Glascock & Ran Lu-Andrews, 2016. "An Investigation into Real Estate Investment and Economic Growth in China: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:8:y:2016:i:1:p:66-:d:62235
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Hongjie Bao & Ling Shan & Yufei Wang & Yuehua Jiang & Cheonjae Lee & Xufeng Cui, 2021. "How Does Local Real Estate Investment Influence Neighborhood PM 2.5 Concentrations? A Spatial Econometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-21, May.
    4. Nadia Ben Yedder & Malek El Weriemmi & Sayef Bakari, 2023. "The Impact of Domestic Investment and Trade on Economic Growth in North Africa Countries: New Evidence from Panel CS-ARDL Model," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(42), pages 22-41, November.
    5. Tingting Liu & Xiaoxian Zhu & Mengqiu Cao, 2022. "Impacts of Reduced Inequalities on Quality Education: Examining the Relationship between Regional Sustainability and Higher Education," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-15, October.
    6. Xiaojie Wang & Yi Duan & Pengcheng Liu & Guixin Han, 2020. "The Influence of Housing Investment on Urban Innovation: An Empirical Analysis Based on City-Level Panel Data in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-15, April.
    7. Muhammad Tariq Majeed & Maria Mazhar, 2021. "Managing economic growth through tourism: Does volatility of tourism matter?," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 48(1), pages 49-69, March.
    8. Chun Fu & Can Zhou, 2023. "Examining the Impact of Real Estate Development on Carbon Emissions Using Differential Generalized Method of Moments and Dynamic Panel Threshold Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Guo-Hua Cao & Jing Zhang, 2021. "Is a sustainable loop of economy and entrepreneurial ecosystem possible? a structural perspective," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 7002-7040, May.
    10. Wenqin Gong & Yu Kong, 2022. "Nonlinear Influence of Chinese Real Estate Development on Environmental Pollution: New Evidence from Spatial Econometric Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(1), pages 1-22, January.
    11. Ani Trstenjak & Ivana Tomas Žiković & Saša Žiković, 2025. "Making tourism more sustainable: empirical evidence from EU member countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 9325-9355, April.
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