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Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Spatial Spillover Effects of Carbon Emissions in China’s Livestock Economic System

Author

Listed:
  • Jing Zhou

    (School of Economics, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin 643000, China)

  • Chao Chen

    (School of Science and Engineering, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin 643000, China)

  • Lingling Wu

    (School of Science and Engineering, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin 643000, China)

  • Huajiang Wang

    (School of Science and Engineering, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin 643000, China)

Abstract

This study investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics, regional disparities, and spatial spillover effects of carbon emissions in China’s livestock sector from 2003 to 2022. By integrating carbon accounting, decoupling elasticity analysis, kernel density estimation, Theil index decomposition, and the Spatial Durbin Model, the research revealed a 6.5% reduction in national livestock carbon emissions alongside intensified spatial polarization. The decoupling relationship evolved dynamically, with strong decoupling dominating but regional fluctuations persisting, particularly in resource-dependent areas. The distribution of emission intensity shifted from unimodal right-skewness to bimodal concentration, indicating technological diffusion barriers and structural divergence across regions. Spatial econometric analysis confirmed significant emission interdependence (ρ = 0.214, p < 0.01), where neighboring economic growth increased local emission intensity. These findings highlighted the limitations of uniform policy approaches and emphasized the need for region-specific governance, market-based incentives, and localized technological innovation. The study provided empirical evidence and a policy framework to address cross-regional coordination and sustainable low-carbon transitions in agriculture.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing Zhou & Chao Chen & Lingling Wu & Huajiang Wang, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Spatial Spillover Effects of Carbon Emissions in China’s Livestock Economic System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-24, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:10:p:4611-:d:1658377
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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