IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v14y2021i3p126-d518638.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Towards Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy Regime in Mauritius

Author

Listed:
  • Ashwin Madhou

    (Research and Economic Analysis Department, Central Bank of Mauritius, Sir William Newton Street, Port-Louis 11328, Mauritius)

  • Tayushma Sewak

    (School of Economics, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia)

  • Imad Moosa

    (School of Economics, Finance and Marketing, RMIT University, RMIT University, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia)

  • Vikash Ramiah

    (Faculty of Business, University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai P.O. Box 20183, United Arab Emirates)

  • Florian Gerth

    (Faculty of Business, University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai P.O. Box 20183, United Arab Emirates)

Abstract

An increasing number of emerging and developing countries have adopted or are transitioning towards full-fledged inflation targeting (FFIT) as the main monetary policy framework to anchor inflation. In this paper, we explore the FFIT regime as a means for Mauritius to achieve stable inflation, anchor inflationary expectations and establish credibility in committing monetary policy towards price stability as its primary goal. This paper reviews and highlights issues experienced with the current monetary policy framework and the challenges in transitioning towards FFIT. Given that forecasting is central to FFIT, we develop a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support transition to FFIT, taking into account structural features and shocks that are specific to the Mauritius economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak & Imad Moosa & Vikash Ramiah & Florian Gerth, 2021. "Towards Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy Regime in Mauritius," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-18, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:3:p:126-:d:518638
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/3/126/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/3/126/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alfredo Baldini & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro, 2011. "Fiscal and Monetary Determinants of Inflation in Low-Income Countries: Theory and Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa-super- †," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 20(3), pages 419-462, June.
    2. Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Michael Bleaney & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation targeting in low‐income countries: Does IT work?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 1529-1550, November.
    3. Ben S. Bernanke, 1990. "On the predictive power of interest rates and interest rate spreads," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Nov, pages 51-68.
    4. Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2007. "Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, edition 1, volume 11, chapter 9, pages 291-372, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Gill Hammond, 2012. "State of the art of inflation targeting," Handbooks, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England, edition 4, number 29, April.
    6. Faridul Islam, 2019. "Currency Crisis: Are There Signals to Read?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-4, August.
    7. Sarkis Joseph Khoury & Poorna C. Pal, 2020. "Negative Interest Rates," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-12, May.
    8. Saman, Corina & Pauna, Bianca, 2013. "New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 159-171, June.
    9. Mark J. Holmes, 2002. "The Inflationary Effects of Effective Exchange Rate Depreciation in Selected African Countries," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 11(2), pages 201-218, June.
    10. Mr. Charalambos G Tsangarides, 2010. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Mauritius Using a VAR Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2010/036, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Michael Bleaney & Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy in Ghana," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 29(2), pages 121-145.
    12. Allan Dizioli & Jochen M. Schmittmann, 2015. "A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam," IMF Working Papers 2015/273, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Carare, Alina & Stone, Mark R., 2006. "Inflation targeting regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1297-1315, July.
    14. James Heintz & Léonce Ndikumana, 2011. "Is There a Case for Formal Inflation Targeting in Sub-Saharan Africa?-super- 1," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 20(suppl_2), pages -103, May.
    15. repec:imf:imfops:2009/004 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Kevin Clinton & Jihad Dagher & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Ali Alichi & Marshall Mills, 2010. "A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana," IMF Working Papers 2010/025, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Patrick Blagrave & Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Fan Zhang, 2015. "A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output," IMF Working Papers 2015/079, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Michal Andrle & Mr. Andrew Berg & Rogelio Morales & Mr. Rafael A Portillo & Mr. Jan Vlcek, 2013. "Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya," IMF Working Papers 2013/061, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Ali Alichi, 2015. "A New Methodology for Estimating the Output Gap in the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/144, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2007. "Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 16(5), pages 705-744, November.
    21. Michael Bleaney & Manuela Francisco, 2016. "Inflation and Fiscal Deficits in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 25(4), pages 529-547.
    22. Buffie, Edward F. & Airaudo, M. & Zanna, Felipe, 2018. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate management in less developed countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 159-184.
    23. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies: The Case of Mauritius," IMF Working Papers 2005/172, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Lei Xu & Takuji Kinkyo & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Predicting Currency Crises: A Novel Approach Combining Random Forests and Wavelet Transform," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-11, December.
    25. Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak, 2019. "Examining Structural Unemployment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Empirical Evidence from Unobserved Components," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 895-904, November.
    26. Régis Barnichon & Shanaka J. Peiris, 2008. "Sources of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 17(5), pages 729-746, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Indra Abeysekera, 2024. "The Influence of Fiscal, Monetary, and Public Policies on Sustainable Development in Sri Lanka," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    2. Senanu Kwasi Klutse & Judit Sági & Gábor Dávid Kiss, 2022. "Exchange Rate Crisis among Inflation Targeting Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, May.
    3. Vyshnevskyi, Iegor & Jombo, Wytone & Sohn, Wook, 2024. "The clarity of monetary policy communication and financial market volatility in developing economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Pejman Peykani & Mostafa Sargolzaei & Amir Takaloo & Shahla Valizadeh, 2023. "The Effects of Monetary Policy on Macroeconomic Variables through Credit and Balance Sheet Channels: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ardakani Omid M. & Kishor N. Kundan, 2018. "Examining the success of the central banks in inflation targeting countries: the dynamics of the inflation gap and institutional characteristics," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Emerson Abraham JACKSON & Mohamed JABBİE & Edmund TAMUKE & Augustine NGOMBU, 2020. "Adoption of Inflation Targeting in Sierra Leone: An Empirical Discourse," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 21-50, July.
    3. Ardakani Omid M. & Kishor N. Kundan, 2018. "Examining the success of the central banks in inflation targeting countries: the dynamics of the inflation gap and institutional characteristics," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Kosta Josifidis & Emilija Beker Pucar & Slađana Srdić & Gabriela Ivan, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Advanced vs. Emerging Economies before and after the Crisis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(1), pages 79-106, Februar.
    5. James Heintz & Léonce Ndikumana, 2010. "Working Paper 108 - Is there a Case for Formal Inflation Targeting in Sub-Saharan Africa?," Working Paper Series 245, African Development Bank.
    6. Mrs. Alexandra Born & Mrs. Sarwat Jahan & Mr. Edward R Gemayel, 2011. "What Can Low-Income Countries Expect From Adopting Inflation Targeting?," IMF Working Papers 2011/276, International Monetary Fund.
    7. James Heintz & Léonce Ndikumana, 2010. "Is There a Case for Formal Inflation Targeting in Sub-Saharan Africa?," Working Papers wp218, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
    8. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Laurence M. Ball & Niamh Sheridan, 2004. "Does Inflation Targeting Matter?," NBER Chapters, in: The Inflation-Targeting Debate, pages 249-276, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Kenneth N Kuttner, 2004. "A Snapshot of Inflation Targeting in its Adolescence," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Christopher Kent & Simon Guttmann (ed.),The Future of Inflation Targeting, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    11. Gerson Nhapulo & João Nicolau, 2017. "Assessing Nonlinear Dynamics of Central Bank Reaction Function: The Case of Mozambique," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(1), pages 28-51, March.
    12. Nguyen, Anh D.M. & Dridi, Jemma & Unsal, Filiz D. & Williams, Oral H., 2017. "On the drivers of inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 71-84.
    13. Stojanovikj, Martin & Petrevski, Goran, 2024. "The choice of monetary regimes in emerging market economies: Inflation targeting versus its alternatives," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 237-260.
    14. Petreski, Marjan, 2013. "Inflation targeting at the crossroads: Evidence from post-communist economies during the crisis," MPRA Paper 47018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Andrew Powell & Rodrigo Mariscal & Pilar Tavella, 2018. "On the Credibility of Inflation-Targeting Regimes in Latin America," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 1-24.
    16. McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Pompa Rangel, Antonio, 2020. "What do Latin American inflation targeters care about? A comparative Bayesian estimation of central bank preferences," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    17. Maurice Obstfeld, 2014. "Never Say Never: Commentary on a Policymaker’s Reflections," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(4), pages 656-693, November.
    18. Joseph Atta-Mensah & Sawuya Nakijoba, 2019. "Estimating the Potential Output and Output Gap of Ghana," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(3), pages 58-70, May.
    19. Csermely, Ágnes, 2006. "Az inflációs cél követésének rendszere Magyarországon [The system for targeting inflation goals in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1058-1079.
    20. Adina Ionela Străchinaru & Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu, 2019. "Assessing the Sustainability of Inflation Targeting: Evidence from EU Countries with Non-EURO Currencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-13, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:3:p:126-:d:518638. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.