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A Prediction Model for Battery Electric Bus Energy Consumption in Transit

Author

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  • Hatem Abdelaty

    (Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster University, JHE-301, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada)

  • Moataz Mohamed

    (Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster University, JHE-301, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada)

Abstract

This study investigates the impacts of vehicular, operational, topological, and external parameters on the energy consumption (E C ) of battery-electric buses (BEBs) in transit operation. Furthermore, the study develops a data-driven prediction model for BEB energy consumption in transit operation that considers these four parameters. A Simulink energy model is developed to estimate the E C rates and validated using the Altoona’s test real-world data. A full-factorial experiment is used to generate 907,199 scenarios for BEB operation informed by 120 real-world drive cycles. A multivariate multiple regression model was developed to predict BEB’s E C . The regression model explained more than 96% of the variation in the E C of the BEBs. The results show the significant impacts of road grade, the initial state of charge, road condition, passenger loading, driver aggressiveness, average speed, HVAC, and stop density on BEB’s energy consumption, each with a different magnitude. The study concluded that the optimal transit profile for BEB operation is associated with rolling grade and relatively lower stop density (one to two stops/km).

Suggested Citation

  • Hatem Abdelaty & Moataz Mohamed, 2021. "A Prediction Model for Battery Electric Bus Energy Consumption in Transit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-26, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:10:p:2824-:d:554654
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Foda, Ahmed & Abdelaty, Hatem & Mohamed, Moataz & El-Saadany, Ehab, 2023. "A generic cost-utility-emission optimization for electric bus transit infrastructure planning and charging scheduling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    3. Roman Michael Sennefelder & Rubén Martín-Clemente & Ramón González-Carvajal, 2023. "Energy Consumption Prediction of Electric City Buses Using Multiple Linear Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-14, May.
    4. Abdelaty, Hatem & Mohamed, Moataz & Ezzeldin, Mohamed & El-Dakhakhni, Wael, 2022. "Temporal robustness assessment framework for city-scale bus transit networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
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    6. Lim, Lek Keng & Muis, Zarina Ab & Ho, Wai Shin & Hashim, Haslenda & Bong, Cassendra Phun Chien, 2023. "Review of the energy forecasting and scheduling model for electric buses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).

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