IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v13y2025i6p147-d1662466.html

Uncertainty, FDI Inflows, and Financial Market Development: Empirical Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Godfrey Marozva

    (Department of Finance, Risk Management and Banking, University of South Africa, Pretoria P.O. Box 392, South Africa)

  • Margaret Rutendo Magwedere

    (Department of Finance, Risk Management and Banking, University of South Africa, Pretoria P.O. Box 392, South Africa)

Abstract

This study offers insight into the multifaceted relationship between economic policy uncertainty, foreign direct investment, and financial development. It analyzes the effects of economic policy uncertainty and financial development on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, using a sample of 75 emerging markets and developing countries, over 2000–2023. To achieve this, a pooled mean group (PMG) was used, and the finding of this study for this period is a positive long-term relationship between economic policy uncertainty and foreign direct investments inflows, challenging the traditional view that uncertainty deters investment. In the long term, the joint effects of financial development and economic policy reduced foreign direct investments. These findings highlight the critical role of financial development in shaping the long-term impact of uncertainty on FDI, and they underscore the need for policy to enhance financial systems in order to stabilize and sustain FDI inflows in uncertain environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Godfrey Marozva & Margaret Rutendo Magwedere, 2025. "Uncertainty, FDI Inflows, and Financial Market Development: Empirical Evidence," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-12, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:6:p:147-:d:1662466
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/6/147/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/6/147/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2004. "Fiji's Tourism Demand: The ARDL Approach to Cointegration," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(2), pages 193-206, June.
    2. Quang Nguyen & Trang Kim & Marina Papanastassiou, 2018. "Correction to: Policy uncertainty, derivatives use, and firm-level FDI," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(2), pages 248-248, February.
    3. Miao Miao & Dinkneh Gebre Borojo & Jiang Yushi & Tigist Abebe Desalegn, 2021. "The impacts of Chinese FDI on domestic investment and economic growth for Africa," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1886472-188, January.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. John H. Dunning, 1977. "Trade, Location of Economic Activity and the MNE: A Search for an Eclectic Approach," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Bertil Ohlin & Per-Ove Hesselborn & Per Magnus Wijkman (ed.), The International Allocation of Economic Activity, chapter 12, pages 395-418, Palgrave Macmillan.
    6. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    7. Quang Nguyen & Trang Kim & Marina Papanastassiou, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, derivatives use, and firm-level FDI," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(1), pages 96-126, January.
    8. Sara Amoroso & Bettina Müller, 2018. "The short-run effects of knowledge intensive greenfield FDI on new domestic entry," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 815-836, June.
    9. repec:bla:obuest:v:61:y:1999:i:0:p:631-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Nick Bloom & Stephen Bond & John Van Reenen, 2007. "Uncertainty and Investment Dynamics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 74(2), pages 391-415.
    11. Azzimonti, Marina, 2019. "Does partisan conflict deter FDI inflows to the US?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 162-178.
    12. G. S. Maddala & Shaowen Wu, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(S1), pages 631-652, November.
    13. Mitsuo Inada & Naoto Jinji, 2024. "The impact of policy uncertainty on foreign direct investment: Micro‐evidence from Japan's international investment agreements," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 934-957, August.
    14. Dunning, John H, 1979. "Explaining Changing Patterns of International Production: In Defence of the Eclectic Theory," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 41(4), pages 269-295, November.
    15. Folasade Bosede Adegboye & Uchechukwu Emena Okorie, 2023. "Fragility of FDI flows in sub-Saharan Africa region: does the paradox persist?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Justice Mundonde & Patricia Lindelwa Makoni, 2025. "Bridging the Green Infrastructure Gap: Determinants of Renewable Energy PPP Financing in Emerging and Developing Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-17, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nusair, Salah A., 2019. "Oil price and inflation dynamics in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 997-1011.
    2. Akinlo Taiwo & Simon-Oke O. Olayemi, 2015. "Re-examine foreign direct investment and economic growth: Panel co-integration and causality tests for sub-Saharan African countries," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 73-86, March.
    3. Clement Zibusiso MOYO & Hlalefang KHOBAI, 2018. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth in SADC Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 71(4), pages 417-436.
    4. Eleftherios Thalassinos & Marta Kadłubek & Le Minh Thong & Tran Van Hiep & Erginbay Ugurlu, 2022. "Managerial Issues Regarding the Role of Natural Gas in the Transition of Energy and the Impact of Natural Gas Consumption on the GDP of Selected Countries," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-22, April.
    5. Santos, Carlos Filipe & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2014. "O nexus energia-crescimento e o nível da auto-suficiência na produção de petróleo: análise com macro painel [Energy-growth nexus and oil self-sufficiency: macro panel analysis]," MPRA Paper 57008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Pilbeam, K. & Litsios, I., 2015. "An Empirical Analysis of the Nexus between Investment, Fiscal Balances and Current Account Balances in Greece, Portugal and Spain," Working Papers 15/18, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London.
    7. Schneider, Nicolas & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2023. "Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
    8. Najia Saqib & Haider Mahmood & Aamir Hussain Siddiqui & Muhammad Asif Shamim, 2022. "The Link between Economic Growth and Sustainable Energy in G7-Countries and E7-Countries: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 294-302, September.
    9. Djaballah Mustapha, 2020. "The Relationship Between the Financial Innovation and the Money Supply: Empirical Study on the Maghreb Countries," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 168-178, February.
    10. He, Pinglin & Sun, Yulong & Niu, Hanlu & Long, Chengfeng & Li, Shufeng, 2021. "The long and short-term effects of environmental tax on energy efficiency: Perspective of OECD energy tax and vehicle traffic tax," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 307-325.
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B., 2018. "Modelling stock price–exchange rate nexus in OECD countries: A new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 105-123.
    12. Prajukta Tripathy & Pragyanrani Behera & Bikash Ranjan Mishra, 2023. "Study of linkages between productivity, export, and outward foreign direct investment: An empirical perspective of Indian manufacturing industries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1527-1548, April.
    13. Nusair, Salah A., 2016. "The effects of oil price shocks on the economies of the Gulf Co-operation Council countries: Nonlinear analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 256-267.
    14. Nihal Ahmed & Adnan Ahmed Sheikh & Bilal Hassan & Sajjad Nawaz Khan & Ricardo Cosio Borda & Juan Martín Campos Huamán & Piotr Senkus, 2022. "The Role of Educating the Labor Force in Sustaining a Green Economy in MINT Countries: Panel Symmetric and Asymmetric Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-12, September.
    15. Litsios, Ioannis & Pilbeam, Keith, 2017. "An empirical analysis of the nexus between investment, fiscal balances and current account balances in Greece, Portugal and Spain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 143-152.
    16. Prasanna Gai & Gavin Cameron & Kang Yong Tan, 2009. "Sovereign Risk in the Classical Gold Standard Era," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 85(271), pages 401-416, December.
    17. Lili Guo & Sihang Guo & Mengqian Tang & Mengying Su & Houjian Li, 2022. "Financial Support for Agriculture, Chemical Fertilizer Use, and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-19, June.
    18. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Moayad H. Al Rasasi & Salah S. Alsayaary & Ziyadh Alfawzan, 2022. "Money demand under a fixed exchange rate regime: the case of Saudi Arabia," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 385-411, December.
    19. Muhammad Azam, 2022. "Governance and Economic Growth: Evidence from 14 Latin America and Caribbean Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1470-1495, June.
    20. Amal BEN ABDALLAH, 2024. "The Relationship Between Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows, and Economic Growth in Middle East and North of Africa Region: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model vs. Vector Error Correction Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 1118-1141, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:6:p:147-:d:1662466. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.