IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v11y2022i1p8-d1013424.html

Impact of India’s Free Trade Agreement with ASEAN on Its Goods Exports: A Gravity Model Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Priyanka Khati

    (Department of G-2 Big Data Management, Gangseo University, Seoul 02447, Republic of Korea)

  • Chanwahn Kim

    (Department of Indian and ASEAN Studies, Hankuk Univeristy of Foreign Studies, Seoul 02447, Republic of Korea)

Abstract

The relationship between India and ASEAN has emerged as a crucial basis of their foreign policy. Both the regions signed a Free Trade Agreement in 2009, which came into effect in 2010. They are now reviewing the FTA to further enhance their economic cooperation. At this critical juncture, this study aimed to analyze the trade and export relationship between India and ASEAN and examine the extent to which the AIFTA effectively influenced it. Additionally, the study intended to determine what other factors influenced the trade and export relationship between the two regions and what future changes are needed in order to make this partnership mutually beneficial. To fulfill this objective, a gravity model was applied to a panel data from 2000–2019. A random effect model was utilized for the estimation. The empirical analysis concludes that the adoption of the AIFTA increased trade significantly; however, had no significant impact on raising exports. The study has identified rising NTMs as one of the important variables impeding realization of India’s export potential to ASEAN. This study suggests that in order to increase India’s exports and for the future of the FTA, India needs to emphasize on building stronger and extensive relationships with those countries in the ASEAN that are witnessing a higher GDP growth rate, such as Cambodia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam.

Suggested Citation

  • Priyanka Khati & Chanwahn Kim, 2022. "Impact of India’s Free Trade Agreement with ASEAN on Its Goods Exports: A Gravity Model Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:11:y:2022:i:1:p:8-:d:1013424
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/1/8/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/1/8/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David C. Parsley & Shang-Jin Wei, 1996. "Convergence to the Law of One Price Without Trade Barriers or Currency Fluctuations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(4), pages 1211-1236.
    2. Ranajoy Bhattacharyya & Avijit Mandal, 2010. "Estimating the Impact of the Indo-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement on India’s Balance of Trade," Journal of Global Analysis, Centre for Strategic Research and Analysis, vol. 1(1), pages 7-25, January.
    3. Renjini, V.R. & Kar, A. & Jha, G.K. & Kumar, P. & Burman, R.R. & Praveen, K.V., . "Agricultural Trade Potential between India and ASEAN: An Application of Gravity Model," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 30(01).
    4. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    5. Saba GULNAZ & Hemlata MANGLANI, 2022. "Does gravity work in the context of India and ASEAN bilateral trade? An application of the FGLS method," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(630), S), pages 143-160, Spring.
    6. Bergstrand, Jeffrey H, 1985. "The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 67(3), pages 474-481, August.
    7. repec:ecr:col025:46014 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Loitongbam Bishwanjit Singh, 2021. "Impact of India-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement: An Assessment from the Trade Creation and Trade Diversion Effects," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(4), pages 400-414, November.
    9. Surender Kumar & Prerna Prabhakar, 2017. "India’s Trade Potential and Free Trade Agreements: A Stochastic Frontier Gravity Approach," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 1-19, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Suhas Jadhav & Ishita Ghosh, 2024. "Future Prospects of the Gravity Model of Trade: A Bibliometric Review (1993–2021)," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(1), pages 26-61, February.
    2. Chandni Dawani & Deepa Pareek, 2024. "Analysing India’s Export Competitiveness in ASEAN Economies: Insights from Viner’s Trade Creation Model," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 6(1), pages 7-30, April.
    3. Saba GULNAZ & Hemlata MANGLANI, 2022. "Does gravity work in the context of India and ASEAN bilateral trade? An application of the FGLS method," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(630), S), pages 143-160, Spring.
    4. Suadat Hussain Wani & Effat Yasmin, 2023. "India’s trade with South and Central Asia: an application of institution-based augmented gravity model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Thomas L. Vollrath & Mark J. Gehlhar & Charles B. Hallahan, 2009. "Bilateral Import Protection, Free Trade Agreements, and Other Factors Influencing Trade Flows in Agriculture and Clothing," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 298-317, June.
    6. Michele Fratianni & Francesco Marchionne, 2011. "The Limits to Integration," Chapters, in: Miroslav N. Jovanović (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume I, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Costantini, Valeria & Mazzanti, Massimiliano, 2012. "On the green and innovative side of trade competitiveness? The impact of environmental policies and innovation on EU exports," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 132-153.
    8. Joras Ferwerda & Mark Kattenberg & Han-Hsin Chang & Brigitte Unger & Loek Groot & Jacob A. Bikker, 2013. "Gravity models of trade-based money laundering," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(22), pages 3170-3182, August.
    9. Jeffrey H. Bergstrand & Scott L. Baier, 2010. "An Evaluation of Swiss Free Trade Agreements Using Matching Econometrics," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 65(3), pages 239-250, September.
    10. Vicente Pinilla & Agustina Rayes, 2017. "Why did Argentina become a super-exporter of agricultural and food products during the Belle Époque (1880-1929)?," Working Papers 0107, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    11. Novy, Dennis, 2013. "International trade without CES: Estimating translog gravity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 271-282.
    12. Rodolfo Campos & Mario Larch & Jacopo Timini & Elena Vidal & Yoto Yotov, 2024. "Does the WTO Promote Trade? A Meta-analysis," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2024-11, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    13. Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Martina Vidovic & Anca M. Voicu, 2014. "EU-Accession Effects on Sectoral Trade: A Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein Approach with Panel Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 4903, CESifo.
    14. Elisabeth Christen & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker & Harald Oberhofer, 2016. "Austria 2025 – Austria's Competitiveness and Export Potentials in Selected Markets," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 59182.
    15. Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Laura Márquez-Ramos, 2005. "Does Technology Foster Trade? Empirical Evidence for Developed and Developing Countries," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(1), pages 55-69, March.
    16. Bo Xiong & John Beghin, 2017. "Disentangling Demand-Enhancing And Trade-Cost Effects Of Maximum Residue Regulations," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: John Christopher Beghin (ed.), Nontariff Measures and International Trade, chapter 6, pages 105-108, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    17. Mutti, John & Grubert, Harry, 2004. "Empirical asymmetries in foreign direct investment and taxation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 337-358, March.
    18. Marco Dueñas & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2013. "Modeling the International-Trade Network: a gravity approach," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 8(1), pages 155-178, April.
    19. Thi Hanh Vu, 2013. "International Export Flows of Vietnam :A Gravity Model Approach," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 56(1), pages 83-108.
    20. Festus Ebo Turkson, 2012. "Trade Agreements and Bilateral Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa: Estimating the Trade Effects of the EU-ACP PTA and RTAs," Discussion Papers 12/07, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:11:y:2022:i:1:p:8-:d:1013424. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.