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Evidence of the North--South business cycle

  • Michael A. Koupatrisas

This article examines the fluctuations of two regional economies: the developed, industrial goods exporting countries of the world ("North") and the developing, commodity exporting countries ("South"). The author finds that these very different regions have similar business cycle characteristics and that cyclical fluctuations in one region are positively correlated with fluctuations in other. Preliminary data analysis suggests that cyclical fluctuations in the South are caused by fluctuations that originate in the North.

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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its journal Economic Perspectives.

Volume (Year): (2001)
Issue (Month): Q I ()
Pages: 46-59

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:2001:i:qi:p:46-59:n:v.25no.1
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  1. David K. Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe, 1991. "International evidence on the historical properties of business cycles," Staff Report 145, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  2. David Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe & Finn E. Kydland, 1993. "International Business Cycles: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 4493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Eduardo Borensztein & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1994. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 41(2), pages 236-261, June.
  4. Lucas, Robert E., 1977. "Understanding business cycles," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 7-29, January.
  5. Marianne Baxter & Michael A. Kouparitsas, 2000. "What Can Account for Fluctuations in the Terms of Trade?," Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series dp-112, Boston University - Department of Economics.
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