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Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the United States: Evidence on their Mutual Interactions (in English)

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  • Daniel Stavárek

    (Slesian University, Opava, Czech Republic)

Abstract

This paper investigates the nature of the causal relationships among stock prices and effective exchange rates in four old EU member countries (Austria, France, Germany, and the UK), four new EU member countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia), and in the United States. Both the long- and short-term causalities between these variables are explored using monthly data. The paper also endeavors to answer the question of whether the linkages between the analyzed economic variables are of similar intensity and direction in old and new EU member countries, and whether or how relationships have changed. The results show much stronger causality in countries with developed capital and foreign-exchange markets (i.e., old EU member countries and the United States). Evidence also suggests more powerful long- and short-term causal relations during the 1993–2003 period than during 1970–92. Causalities seem to be predominantly unidirectional, with the direction running from stock prices to exchange rates. Finally, we detected strong relations when applying the real effective exchange rate than the nominal effective exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Stavárek, 2005. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the United States: Evidence on their Mutual Interactions (in English)," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(3-4), pages 141-161, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:55:y:2005:i:3-4:p:141-161
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Faizal Reza & Titin Ruliana & Imam Nazarudin Latif & Adisthy Shabrina Nurqamarani, 2020. "Causality Between Exchange Rate and Stock Prices: Evidence From ASEAN-5 Countries," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 10(2), pages 17-33.
    2. Sekhar M. Amba & Binh H. Nguyen, 2019. "Exchange Rate And Equity Price Relationship: Empirical Evidence From Mexican And Canadian Markets," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(2), pages 33-43.
    3. Mira Nurmakhanova, 2019. "Exchange Rate and Stock Prices Interactions in Kazakhstan," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 7(2), pages 19-31.
    4. Funda H. Sezgin & Nesli Nazik Özkan, 2015. "Effect Of Foreign Direct Investment On Balance Of Payment For Turkey: Econometric Analysis," Eurasian Eononometrics, Statistics and Emprical Economics Journal, Eurasian Academy Of Sciences, vol. 2(2), pages 55-75, October.
    5. Gözde YILDIRIM, Zafer ADALI, 2018. "Linear and Non-Linear Causality Tests of Stock Price and Real Exchange Rate Interactions in Turkey," Fiscaoeconomia, Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark), issue 1.
    6. Komain Jiranyakul, 2012. "Linkages between Thai stock and foreign exchange markets under the floating regime," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 305-319, December.
    7. Mirza Muhammad Naseer & Muhammad Asif Khan & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2021. "Firm, Industry and Macroeconomics Dynamics of Stock Returns: A Case of Pakistan Non-Financial Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, April.
    8. Manish Kumar, 2009. "A Bivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 2884-2895.
    9. Lesotho, O. K. & Motlaleng, G. R. & Ntsosa, M. M., 2016. "Stock Market Returns and Exchange Rates in Botswana," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 4(2), July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock prices; cointegration; vector error-correction; exchange rates; Granger causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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