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The Causality Between Stock Returns And Exchange Rates: Revisited

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  • BALA RAMASAMY
  • MATTHEW C.H. YEUNG

Abstract

There has been a renewed interest in the determination of causality between stock markets and exchange rates. In nearly all these studies Granger causality tests has been extensively used. In this paper, we employ the standard Granger causality methodology to a research setting similar to that of Granger et al. (2000). We consider the causality between the two markets in nine east Asian economies. We find that the direction of causality tends to demonstrate a hit-and-run behaviour and switches according to the length of period chosen. This implies that great caution should be taken when interpreting Granger causality results. Copyright Blackwell Publishing Ltd/ University of Adelaide and Flinders University 2005..

Suggested Citation

  • Bala Ramasamy & Matthew C.H. Yeung, 2005. "The Causality Between Stock Returns And Exchange Rates: Revisited," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 162-169, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:44:y:2005:i:2:p:162-169
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Kanda & Michael Burke & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Time-Varying Causality between Equity and Currency Returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over Two Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201778, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Daniel Stavárek, 2005. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the United States: Evidence on their Mutual Interactions (in English)," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(3-4), pages 141-161, March.
    3. repec:wsi:serxxx:v:56:y:2011:i:02:n:s0217590811004250 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Giulia Piccillo, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Asset Prices: Heterogeneous Agents at Work," CESifo Working Paper Series 4257, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Ayub, Aishaton & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "The Relationship between Exchange Rates and Islamic Indices in Malaysia FTSE Market: A Wavelet Based Approach," MPRA Paper 59618, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Bojan Tomic, 2015. "The Impact Of Macroeconomic Indicators On The Movement Of Crobex," FIP - Journal of Finance and Law, Effectus - University College for Law and Finance, vol. 2(1), pages 45-60.
    7. Hong-Ghi Min & Judith A. McDonald & Sang-Ook Shin, 2016. "What Makes a Safe Haven? Equity and Currency Returns for Six OECD Countries during the Financial Crisis," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 17(2), pages 365-402, November.
    8. Haakon Kavli & Kevin Kotzé, 2014. "Spillovers in Exchange Rates and the Effects of Global Shocks on Emerging Market Currencies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(2), pages 209-238, June.
    9. Chayawadee Chai-Anant & Corinna Ho, 2008. "Understanding Asian equity flows, market returns and exchange rates," BIS Working Papers 245, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Tomić, Bojan & Sesar, Andrijana, 2015. "Interdependence of Industrial Production Index and capital market in Croatia: VAR model," MPRA Paper 66816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. repec:eee:pacfin:v:46:y:2017:i:pb:p:337-354 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Structural changes in exchange rate-stock returns dynamics in South Africa: Examining the role of crisis and new trading platform," Working Papers 1816, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Apr 2018.
    13. David McMillan & Isabel Ruiz & Alan Speight, 2010. "Correlations and spillovers among three euro rates: evidence using realised variance," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(8), pages 753-767.
    14. Stavarek, Daniel, 2004. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the USA: Evidence of their Mutual Interactions," MPRA Paper 7297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Daniel Stavarek, 2004. "Linkages between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the United States," Finance 0406006, EconWPA.
    16. Nicolaas Groenewold & James E.H. Paterson, 2013. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in Australia: Are Commodity Prices the Missing Link?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(3-4), pages 159-170, December.
    17. repec:arp:ijefrr:2018:p:131-144 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Vanderlei Kleinschmidt & Roberto Meurer, 2008. "Interdependence in conditional variances between Latin American stock markets," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211543080, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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