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Should inflation-targeting central banks care about dynamic instabilities in an open economy?

Author

Listed:
  • Meixing Dai

    (Beta-Theme, Universite Louis Pasteur)

  • Moise Sidiropoulos

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki and LEAP and Beta-Theme, Universite Louis Pasteur)

Abstract

This paper studies the stability conditions in a simple dynamic economy model, in which central banks adopt an inflation-targeting regime to conduct their policy in a context of flexible exchange rates. We show that when inflation-targeting central banks place a low weight on their inflation target (a relatively high degree of inflation-targeting flexibility), the economy will have a saddle-point stationary equilibrium. In the opposite, when inflation-targeting central banks place a high weight on their inflation target (they have a relatively low degree of inflation-targeting flexibility), a stable equilibrium is impossible. Thus, inflation targeting will automatically give greater weight to exchange rate developments the more open is the economy. Responding too quickly to what may prove to be temporary exchange rate fluctuations, inflation-targeting central banks can set up dynamic instabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Meixing Dai & Moise Sidiropoulos, 2005. "Should inflation-targeting central banks care about dynamic instabilities in an open economy?," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 8(2), pages 125-141, Winter.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekn:ekonom:v:8:y:2005:i:2:p:125-141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Svensson, Lars-E-O, 2001. "The Zero Bound in an Open Economy: A Foolproof Way of Escaping from a Liquidity Trap," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 19(S1), pages 277-312, February.
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    9. Paul R. Masson & Miguel A. Savastano & Sunil Sharma, 2019. "The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Modelling and Monetary and Exchange Rate Regimes, chapter 10, pages 331-383, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Meixing DAI, 2007. "A two-pillar strategy to keep inflation expectations at bay: A basic theoretical framework," Working Papers of BETA 2007-20, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    2. Dai, Meixing, 2007. "The design of a ‘two-pillar’ monetary policy strategy," MPRA Paper 14403, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2009.
    3. Meixing DAI, 2009. "On the role of money growth targeting under inflation targeting regime," Working Papers of BETA 2009-11, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    4. Meixing DAI & Moïse SIDIROPOULOS, 2009. "Money growth rule and macro-financial stability under inflation-targeting regime," Working Papers of BETA 2009-05, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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