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The potential impact of Brexit on Ireland's demand for shipping services to continental Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Vega, Amaya
  • Feo-Valero, Maria
  • Espino-Espino, Raquel

Abstract

Ireland, as an island nation, has historically relied on the UK landbridge to export and import its goods to and from Europe. This provides a fast, reliable and secure service along the UK landbridge route relative to the more economical and less frequent direct continental route. However, the relative competitiveness of maritime services along both routes may be significantly influenced by the UK exit from the European Union or Brexit. This paper aims to understand the potential impact of Brexit on maritime freight transport demand from Ireland to continental Europe for export trade shipments. Based on data collected from an efficient stated preference (SP) experiment, discrete choice models that allow for non-compensatory behaviour are estimated. Results from a range of likely variations in the level of service of the UK landbridge route following Brexit suggest that the probability of using the direct continental route is likely to increase by up to a 14% with respect to its current level.

Suggested Citation

  • Vega, Amaya & Feo-Valero, Maria & Espino-Espino, Raquel, 2018. "The potential impact of Brexit on Ireland's demand for shipping services to continental Europe," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:71:y:2018:i:c:p:1-13
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.07.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Frédéric Dobruszkes, 2019. "Air services at risk: The threat of a hard Brexit at the airport level," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 51(1), pages 3-7, February.
    2. Vega, Amaya & Feo-Valero, Maria & Espino-Espino, Raquel, 2021. "Understanding maritime transport route choice among Irish exporters: A latent class approach," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Dimitrios Paraskevadakis & Adeyeri Ifeoluwa, 2022. "An industry-level analysis of the post-Brexit and post-Covid 19 Ro-Ro ferry market and critical maritime freight transport links between the UK and the EU," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-33, December.
    4. Frédéric Dobruszkes, 2019. "Air services at risk: The threat of a hard Brexit at the airport level," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/280924, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    5. Gohari, Adel & Ahmad, Anuar Bin & Balasbaneh, Ali Tighnavard & Gohari, Ali & Hasan, Razi & Sholagberu, Abdulkadir Taofeeq, 2022. "Significance of intermodal freight modal choice criteria: MCDM-based decision support models and SP-based modal shift policies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 46-60.

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