IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transe/v197y2025ics1366554525000821.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of carbon border adjustment mechanism on the stock market value of high-polluting firms in China: The role of supply chain risk management and internationalization capabilities

Author

Listed:
  • Jia, Fu
  • Hu, Shoufeng
  • Chen, Lujie

Abstract

As the world’s first “carbon tariff”, the implementation of European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has drawn considerable attention within the field of operations management. This paper employs an event study methodology to examine the effect of the CBAM on the stock market value of Chinese A-share listed firms in high-polluting industries, the six CBAM target industries, and upstream industries that produce indirect emissions. We find that CBAM leads to negative abnormal returns for firms in both the six target industries of CBAM and indirect emission industries, increasing the risk of supply chain disruptions. Drawing on dynamic capabilities theory, we also explore the effect of supply chain risk management and internationalization capabilities on how well high-polluting firms adapt to CBAM. We find that these capabilities mitigate the negative effect of CBAM on firm market value. Based on these findings, we call for more concerted efforts to understand the role of carbon taxes in reducing carbon leakage. Moreover, we recommend that firms strategically leverage their dynamic capabilities to adapt to the risks posed by changing international environmental regulations. These findings provide valuable insights into the intersection between international policy and operations management.

Suggested Citation

  • Jia, Fu & Hu, Shoufeng & Chen, Lujie, 2025. "Impact of carbon border adjustment mechanism on the stock market value of high-polluting firms in China: The role of supply chain risk management and internationalization capabilities," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:197:y:2025:i:c:s1366554525000821
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104041
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554525000821
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tre.2025.104041?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joseph S Shapiro, 2021. "The Environmental Bias of Trade Policy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(2), pages 831-886.
    2. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman & Stephen J. Redding, 2024. "When Tariffs Disrupt Global Supply Chains," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(4), pages 988-1029, April.
    3. Chengdong Yin & Xiaoyan Zhang & Wei Jiang, 2023. "Risking or Derisking: How Management Fees Affect Hedge Fund Risk-Taking Choices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 904-944.
    4. Timothy Erickson & Toni M. Whited, 2010. "Erratum: Measurement Error and the Relationship between Investment and q," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 118(6), pages 1252-1257.
    5. Scholes, Myron & Williams, Joseph, 1977. "Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 309-327, December.
    6. Timothy Erickson & Toni M. Whited, 2000. "Measurement Error and the Relationship between Investment and q," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(5), pages 1027-1057, October.
    7. Eduardo Duque-Grisales & Javier Aguilera-Caracuel, 2021. "Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Scores and Financial Performance of Multilatinas: Moderating Effects of Geographic International Diversification and Financial Slack," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 168(2), pages 315-334, January.
    8. Chen, Lujie & Jia, Fu & Li, Taiyu & Zhang, Tianyu, 2021. "Supply chain leadership and firm performance: A meta-analysis," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Bovenberg, A Lans & Goulder, Lawrence H, 1996. "Optimal Environmental Taxation in the Presence of Other Taxes: General-Equilibrium Analyses," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(4), pages 985-1000, September.
    10. Richard S.J. Tol, 2011. "The Social Cost of Carbon," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 419-443, October.
    11. Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & Douglas Hanley & William Kerr, 2016. "Transition to Clean Technology," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 124(1), pages 52-104.
    12. Zeeshan Raza & Johan Woxenius, 2023. "Customer‐driven sustainable business practices and their relationships with environmental and business performance—Insights from the European shipping industry," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(8), pages 6138-6153, December.
    13. Jianhua Tan & Kam C. Chan & Samuel Chang & Bin Wang, 2023. "Effects of carbon emissions on audit fees," Managerial Auditing Journal, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(7), pages 1112-1140, September.
    14. Barasa, Laura & Knoben, Joris & Vermeulen, Patrick & Kimuyu, Peter & Kinyanjui, Bethuel, 2017. "Institutions, resources and innovation in East Africa: A firm level approach," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 280-291.
    15. Lorraine Eden & Stewart R. Miller & Sarfraz Khan & Robert J. Weiner & Dan Li, 2022. "The event study in international business research: Opportunities, challenges, and practical solutions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(5), pages 803-817, July.
    16. Ximin (Natalie) Huang & Tarkan Tan & L. Beril Toktay, 2021. "Carbon Leakage: The Impact of Asymmetric Regulation on Carbon‐Emitting Production," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(6), pages 1886-1903, June.
    17. Dennis Leech, 1988. "The Relationship Between Shareholding Concentration and Shareholder Voting Power in British Companies: A Study of the Application of Power Indices for Simple Games," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(4), pages 509-527, April.
    18. Ding, Li & Lam, Hugo K.S. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhou, Honggeng, 2021. "The contagion and competitive effects across national borders: Evidence from the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    19. Sabina Tasheva & Bo Bernhard Nielsen, 2022. "The role of global dynamic managerial capability in the pursuit of international strategy and superior performance," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(4), pages 689-708, June.
    20. Yuan Lu & Lianxi Zhou & Garry Bruton & Weiwen Li, 2010. "Capabilities as a mediator linking resources and the international performance of entrepreneurial firms in an emerging economy," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 41(3), pages 419-436, April.
    21. Fernando F. Suarez & Michael A. Cusumano & Steven J. Kahl, 2013. "Services and the Business Models of Product Firms: An Empirical Analysis of the Software Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 420-435, November.
    22. Fei Pan & Kun Ni & Tao Xu & Huaican Chen & Yusong Wang & Ke Gong & Cai Liu & Xin Li & Miao-Ling Lin & Shengyuan Li & Xia Wang & Wensheng Yan & Wen Yin & Ping-Heng Tan & Litao Sun & Dapeng Yu & Rodney , 2023. "Long-range ordered porous carbons produced from C60," Nature, Nature, vol. 614(7946), pages 95-101, February.
    23. Morris A. Cohen & Panos Kouvelis, 2021. "Revisit of AAA Excellence of Global Value Chains: Robustness, Resilience, and Realignment," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(3), pages 633-643, March.
    24. Kathleen M. Eisenhardt & Jeffrey A. Martin, 2000. "Dynamic capabilities: what are they?," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(10‐11), pages 1105-1121, October.
    25. Lu & Pollitt, M. G. & Wang, K. & Wei, Y-M., 2023. "The Incremental Impact of China's Carbon," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2349, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    26. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    27. Vladislav Maksimov & Stephanie Lu Wang & Shipeng Yan, 2022. "Global connectedness and dynamic green capabilities in MNEs," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(4), pages 723-740, June.
    28. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Luo, Suyuan, 2019. "Data quality challenges for sustainable fashion supply chain operations in emerging markets: Roles of blockchain, government sponsors and environment taxes," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 139-152.
    29. Feng Liu & Hui Lin & Huiying Wu, 2018. "Political Connections and Firm Value in China: An Event Study," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 152(2), pages 551-571, October.
    30. Christian C. Blanco, 2021. "Supply Chain Carbon Footprinting and Climate Change Disclosures of Global Firms," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(9), pages 3143-3160, September.
    31. Xiaoshuai Fan & Kanglin Chen & Ying-Ju Chen, 2023. "Is Price Commitment a Better Solution to Control Carbon Emissions and Promote Technology Investment?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 325-341, January.
    32. Dai, Rui & Zhang, Jianxiong, 2017. "Green process innovation and differentiated pricing strategies with environmental concerns of South-North markets," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 132-150.
    33. Scott D. Dyreng & William J. Mayew & Katherine Schipper, 2017. "Evidence of Manager Intervention to Avoid Working Capital Deficits," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 697-725, June.
    34. Fang, Yuan & Yu, Yugang & Shi, Ye & Liu, Jie, 2020. "The effect of carbon tariffs on global emission control: A global supply chain model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    35. Bovenberg, A.L. & Goulder, L.H., 1996. "Optimal environmental taxation in the presence of other taxes : General equilibrium analyses," Other publications TiSEM 5d4b7517-c5c8-4ef6-ab76-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    36. ., 2023. "Shadow banking and carbon transition risk," Chapters, in: (Mis)managing Macroprudential Expectations, chapter 7, pages 128-144, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    37. Weiwei Han & Fangying Yuan & Chuming Wang & Dongqing Luan & Hong Wang, 2023. "The impact of carbon risk on real earnings management," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 2218461-221, December.
    38. Florian Lücker & Sunil Chopra & Ralf W. Seifert, 2021. "Mitigating Product Shortage Due to Disruptions in Multi‐Stage Supply Chains," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(4), pages 941-964, April.
    39. Zhihua Cheng & Feng Wang & Christine Keung & Yongxiu Bai, 2017. "Will Corporate Political Connection Influence the Environmental Information Disclosure Level? Based on the Panel Data of A-Shares from Listed Companies in Shanghai Stock Market," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 209-221, June.
    40. Shumail Mazahir & Vedat Verter & Tamer Boyaci & Luk N. Van Wassenhove, 2019. "Did Europe Move in the Right Direction on E‐waste Legislation?," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(1), pages 121-139, January.
    41. Gökçe Esenduran & John V. Gray & Burcu Tan, 2022. "A Dynamic Analysis of Supply Chain Risk Management and Extended Payment Terms," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(3), pages 1394-1417, March.
    42. Michael Firth & Kailong (Philip) Wang & Sonia ML Wong, 2015. "Corporate Transparency and the Impact of Investor Sentiment on Stock Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(7), pages 1630-1647, July.
    43. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September.
    44. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    45. Ding, Li & Lam, Hugo K.S. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhou, Honggeng, 2018. "A review of short-term event studies in operations and supply chain management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 329-342.
    46. Lint Barrage, 2020. "Optimal Dynamic Carbon Taxes in a Climate–Economy Model with Distortionary Fiscal Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(1), pages 1-39.
    47. Jennie Bai & Hong Ru, 2024. "Carbon Emissions Trading and Environmental Protection: International Evidence," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4593-4603, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karatzas, Antonios & Daskalakis, George & Bastl, Marko & Johnson, Mark, 2022. "Risky business? Shareholder value effects of service provision," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    2. Michelle L. Barnes & Shiguang Ma, 2002. "The behavior of China's stock prices in response to the proposal and approval of bonus issues," Working Papers 02-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    3. Fan, Di & Liang, Tianheng & Yeung, Andy C.L. & Zhang, Haomin, 2020. "The impact of capacity-reduction initiatives on the stock market value of Chinese manufacturing firms," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    4. Philipp M. Schlumpf & Markus M. Schmid & Heinz Zimmermann, 2008. "The First‐ and Second‐Hand Effect of Analysts' Stock Recommendations: Evidence from the Swiss Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(5), pages 962-988, November.
    5. Maria Consuelo Pucheta Martinez & Antonio Vico Martinez & Maria Antonia Garcia Benau, 2004. "Reactions of the Spanish capital market to qualified audit reports," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 689-711.
    6. Sadok El Ghoul & Omrane Guedhami & Sattar A. Mansi & Oumar Sy, 2023. "Event studies in international finance research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 54(2), pages 344-364, March.
    7. Marcos Albuquerque Junior & José António Filipe & Paulo de Melo Jorge Neto & Cristiano da Silva, 2021. "The Study of Events Approach Applied to the Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions on the Performance of Consulting Engineering Companies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Monica Martinez-Blasco & Vanessa Serrano & Francesc Prior & Jordi Cuadros, 2023. "Analysis of an event study using the Fama–French five-factor model: teaching approaches including spreadsheets and the R programming language," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    9. Bruno Conte & Klaus Desmet & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2022. "On the Geographic Implications of Carbon Taxes," NBER Working Papers 30678, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Sanae Ait Jillali & Mohammed Belkasseh, 2023. "IPOs performance evaluation: Which methodology to opt for?," Post-Print halshs-04322482, HAL.
    11. Cable, John & Holland, Kevin, 1999. "Regression vs. non-regression models of normal returns: implications for event studies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 81-85, July.
    12. Laivi Laidroo & Zana Grigaliuniene, 2012. "Testing for asymmetries in price reactions to quarterly earnings announcements on Tallinn, Riga and Vilnius Stock Exchanges during 2000-2009," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 12(1), pages 61-86, July.
    13. Sapienza, Paola & Polk, Christopher, 2003. "The Real Effects of Investor Sentiment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Lee, Sangwon, 2022. "Internal capital markets, corporate investment, and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Korean business groups," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Furdui Călin & Șfabu Dorina Teodora, 2023. "The European Banks Under the Shock of the Russian Invasion of 2022: An Event Study Approach," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 68(1), pages 62-77, April.
    16. Mojanoski Goran & Bucevska Vesna, 2022. "Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 18-27, December.
    17. Vicentina Gomes, Liliane & Odálio dos Santos, José & Lana Silva, Cristiane & Ferreira de Souza, Maurício, 2018. "Divulgações de informações e o efeito no retorno de ações da maior empresa de educação listada na B3 (Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão) [Information disclosures and the effect on the return of stocks of the l," MPRA Paper 93123, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 May 2018.
    18. António Miguel Martins, 2024. "Short‐term market impact of Black Sea Grain Initiative on four grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 619-630, April.
    19. Ahmad H. Juma’h & Yazan Alnsour, 2018. "Using Social Media Analytics: The Effect of President Trump’s Tweets On Companies’ Performance," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 17(1), pages 100-121, March.
    20. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:197:y:2025:i:c:s1366554525000821. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600244/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.