IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transe/v117y2018icp96-107.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of the Carat Canal on the evolution of hub ports under China’s Belt and Road initiative

Author

Listed:
  • Zeng, Qingcheng
  • Wang, Grace W.Y.
  • Qu, Chenrui
  • Li, Kevin X.

Abstract

Under China’s Belt and Road (B&R) initiative, Carat Canal, a potential new channel of the Century Maritime Silk Road, will have a great impact on the shipping networks and the evolution of hub ports. A modified gravity prediction model with entropy maximizing principle is developed to calculate the changes in transshipment traffic. Taking account both customer preferences and spatial interaction, numerical experiments show that the opening of the Carat Canal shifts traffic volumes from the Malacca Strait, influences transshipment market shares among hub ports, and diversifies shipping network pattern. This study serves as a reference for hub port development along the Maritime Silk Road.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeng, Qingcheng & Wang, Grace W.Y. & Qu, Chenrui & Li, Kevin X., 2018. "Impact of the Carat Canal on the evolution of hub ports under China’s Belt and Road initiative," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 96-107.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:117:y:2018:i:c:p:96-107
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2017.05.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554517300868
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tre.2017.05.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dong-Wook Song & Ki-Tae Yeo, 2004. "A Competitive Analysis of Chinese Container Ports Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 6(1), pages 34-52, March.
    2. Tran, Nguyen Khoi, 2011. "Studying port selection on liner routes: An approach from logistics perspective," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 39-53.
    3. César Ducruet & Sung-Woo Lee & Adolf K.Y. Ng, 2010. "Centrality and vulnerability in liner shipping networks: revisiting the Northeast Asian port hierarchy," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 17-36, January.
    4. Yeo, Gi-Tae & Roe, Michael & Dinwoodie, John, 2008. "Evaluating the competitiveness of container ports in Korea and China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 910-921, July.
    5. Wan, Yulai & Basso, Leonardo J. & Zhang, Anming, 2016. "Strategic investments in accessibility under port competition and inter-regional coordination," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 102-125.
    6. Jiangbo Xing & Ming Zhong, 2017. "A reactive container rerouting model for container flow recovery in a hub-and-spoke liner shipping network," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(6), pages 744-760, August.
    7. Verny, Jerome & Grigentin, Christophe, 2009. "Container shipping on the Northern Sea Route," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 107-117, November.
    8. Wei Yim Yap & Theo Notteboom, 2011. "Dynamics of liner shipping service scheduling and their impact on container port competition," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 471-485, April.
    9. Min Ju Bae & Ek Peng Chew & Loo Hay Lee & Anming Zhang, 2013. "Container transshipment and port competition," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(5), pages 479-494, September.
    10. Rodríguez-Déniz, Héctor & Suau-Sanchez, Pere & Voltes-Dorta, Augusto, 2013. "Classifying airports according to their hub dimensions: an application to the US domestic network," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 188-195.
    11. Ishii, Masahiro & Lee, Paul Tae-Woo & Tezuka, Koichiro & Chang, Young-Tae, 2013. "A game theoretical analysis of port competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 92-106.
    12. Tovar, Beatriz & Hernández, Rubén & Rodríguez-Déniz, Héctor, 2015. "Container port competitiveness and connectivity: The Canary Islands main ports case," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 40-51.
    13. Jérôme Verny & Christophe Grigentin, 2009. "Container shipping on the Northern Sea Route," Post-Print hal-00568193, HAL.
    14. R J Bennett, 1975. "Dynamic Systems Modelling of the North-West Region: 2. Estimation of the Spatio-Temporal Policy Model," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 7(5), pages 539-566, August.
    15. Tom Vermeiren & Cathy Macharis, 2016. "Intermodal land transportation systems and port choice, an analysis of stated choices among shippers in the Rhine–Scheldt delta," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(8), pages 992-1004, November.
    16. Tan, Zhijia & Li, Wan & Zhang, Xiaoning & Yang, Hai, 2015. "Service charge and capacity selection of an inland river port with location-dependent shipping cost and service congestion," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 13-33.
    17. Simme Veldman & Lorena Garcia-Alonso & José Ángel Vallejo-Pinto, 2011. "Determinants of container port choice in Spain," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 509-522, January.
    18. R J Bennett, 1975. "Dynamic Systems Modelling of the North-West Region: 4. Adaptive Spatio—Temporal Forecasts," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 7(8), pages 887-898, December.
    19. César Ducruet & Sung-Woo Lee & Adolf Ng, 2010. "Centrality and vulnerability in liner shipping networks : revisiting the Northeast Asian port hierarchy," Post-Print hal-03246966, HAL.
    20. R J Bennett, 1975. "Dynamic Systems Modelling of the North-West Region: 1. Spatio-Temporal Representation and Identification," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 7(5), pages 525-538, August.
    21. Loon Tang & Joyce Low & Shao Lam, 2011. "Understanding Port Choice Behavior—A Network Perspective," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 65-82, March.
    22. Wilmsmeier, Gordon & Monios, Jason & Pérez-Salas, Gabriel, 2014. "Port system evolution – the case of Latin America and the Caribbean," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 208-221.
    23. Wang, Yuhong & Cullinane, Kevin, 2014. "Traffic consolidation in East Asian container ports: A network flow analysis," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 152-163.
    24. Chang, Young-Tae & Lee, Sang-Yoon & Tongzon, Jose L., 2008. "Port selection factors by shipping lines: Different perspectives between trunk liners and feeder service providers," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 877-885, November.
    25. Czerny, Achim & Höffler, Felix & Mun, Se-il, 2014. "Hub port competition and welfare effects of strategic privatization," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 211-220.
    26. Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee & Gu, Yimiao, 2016. "A market-oriented approach for intermodal network optimisation meeting cost, time and environmental requirements," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P2), pages 266-274.
    27. Cabral, Alexandra Maria Rios & Ramos, Francisco de Sousa, 2014. "Cluster analysis of the competitiveness of container ports in Brazil," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 423-431.
    28. Liu, Liming & Wang, Kelly Yujie & Yip, Tsz Leung, 2013. "Development of a container port system in Pearl River Delta: path to multi-gateway ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-38.
    29. Gi-Tae Yeo & Adolf K.Y. Ng & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Zaili Yang, 2014. "Modelling port choice in an uncertain environment," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 251-267, May.
    30. R J Bennett, 1975. "Dynamic Systems Modelling of the North-West Region: 3. Adaptive-Parameter Policy Model," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 7(6), pages 617-636, September.
    31. Tavasszy, Lóránt & Minderhoud, Michiel & Perrin, Jean-François & Notteboom, Theo, 2011. "A strategic network choice model for global container flows: specification, estimation and application," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1163-1172.
    32. Ross Robinson, 2002. "Ports as elements in value-driven chain systems: the new paradigm," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 241-255.
    33. Low, Joyce M.W. & Lam, Shao Wei & Tang, Loon Ching, 2009. "Assessment of hub status among Asian ports from a network perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 593-606, July.
    34. Steven, Adams B. & Corsi, Thomas M., 2012. "Choosing a port: An analysis of containerized imports into the US," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 881-895.
    35. Wenming Shi & Kevin X. Li, 2017. "Themes and tools of maritime transport research during 2000-2014," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 151-169, February.
    36. Simme J Veldman & Ewout H Bückmann, 2003. "A Model on Container Port Competition: An Application for the West European Container Hub-Ports," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 5(1), pages 3-22, March.
    37. Yulai Wan & Anming Zhang & Andrew C.L. Yuen, 2013. "Urban road congestion, capacity expansion and port competition: empirical analysis of US container ports," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(5), pages 417-438, September.
    38. Dong Yang & Shuaian Wang, 2017. "Analysis of the development potential of bulk shipping network on the Yangtze River," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 512-523, May.
    39. Wenming Shi & Hee-Seok Bang & Kevin X. Li, 2016. "A cross-region analysis of the output elasticity of transport investment in China," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 222-241, February.
    40. John R. Roy, 2004. "Spatial Interaction Modelling," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, number 978-3-540-24807-1, Fall.
    41. Sener, Ipek N. & Pendyala, Ram M. & Bhat, Chandra R., 2011. "Accommodating spatial correlation across choice alternatives in discrete choice models: an application to modeling residential location choice behavior," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 294-303.
    42. Shuaian Wang, 2017. "Formulating cargo inventory costs for liner shipping network design," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 62-80, January.
    43. Bhat, Chandra R. & Guo, Jessica, 2004. "A mixed spatially correlated logit model: formulation and application to residential choice modeling," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 147-168, February.
    44. Liu, Miaojia & Kronbak, Jacob, 2010. "The potential economic viability of using the Northern Sea Route (NSR) as an alternative route between Asia and Europe," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 434-444.
    45. Tongzon, Jose L., 2009. "Port choice and freight forwarders," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 186-195, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kundu, Tanmoy & Sheu, Jiuh-Biing, 2019. "Analyzing the effect of government subsidy on shippers’ mode switching behavior in the Belt and Road strategic context," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 175-202.
    2. Claudio Ferrari & Alessio Tei, 2020. "Effects of BRI strategy on Mediterranean shipping transport," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Wen, Xin & Ma, Hoi-Lam & Choi, Tsan-Ming & Sheu, Jiuh-Biing, 2019. "Impacts of the Belt and Road Initiative on the China-Europe trading route selections," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 581-604.
    4. Min Yan & Shunxiang Fan & Li Zhang & Riffat Mahmood & Bowei Chen & Yuqi Dong, 2022. "Vegetation Dynamics Due to Urbanization in the Coastal Cities along the Maritime Silk Road," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
    5. Liu, Qing & Yang, Yang & Ke, Luqi & Ng, Adolf K.Y., 2022. "Structures of port connectivity, competition, and shipping networks in Europe," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Chen, Yang & Chao, Yiying & Liu, Wei & Tao, Kan & Lian, Peng, 2021. "Make friends, not money: How Chinese enterprises select transport infrastructure investment locations along the Belt and Road," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 119-132.
    7. Jin, Lianjie & Chen, Jing & Sheu, Jiuh-Biing & Zhou, Huixin & Jian, Yanchun & Yu, Bin, 2022. "Impacts of national strategies on gateway ports: An empirical study in the Bohai Rim," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1-11.
    8. Yang, Zhongzhen & Sun, Yu & Lee, Paul Tae-Woo, 2020. "Impact of the development of the China-Europe Railway Express – A case on the Chongqing international logistics center," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 244-261.
    9. Zheng, Qi & Zhou, Li & Fan, Tijun & Ieromonachou, Petros, 2019. "Joint procurement and pricing of fresh produce for multiple retailers with a quantity discount contract," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 16-36.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qu, Chenrui & Wang, Grace W.Y. & Zeng, Qingcheng, 2017. "Modelling port subsidy policies considering pricing decisions of feeder carriers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 115-133.
    2. Flitsch, Verena & Brümmerstedt, Katrin, 2015. "Freight Transport Modelling of Container Hinterland Supply Chains," Chapters from the Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), in: Blecker, Thorsten & Kersten, Wolfgang & Ringle, Christian M. (ed.), Operational Excellence in Logistics and Supply Chains: Optimization Methods, Data-driven Approaches and Security Insights. Proceedings of the Hamburg , volume 22, pages 233-266, Hamburg University of Technology (TUHH), Institute of Business Logistics and General Management.
    3. Vega, Laura & Cantillo, Víctor & Arellana, Julián, 2019. "Assessing the impact of major infrastructure projects on port choice decision: The Colombian case," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 132-148.
    4. Qu, Chenrui & Zeng, Qingcheng & Li, Kevin X. & Lin, Kun-Chin, 2020. "Modeling incentive strategies for landside integration in multimodal transport chains," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 47-64.
    5. Nguyen Tran & Hans-Dietrich Haasis, 2014. "Empirical analysis of the container liner shipping network on the East-West corridor (1995–2011)," Netnomics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 121-153, November.
    6. Felipe Lobo Umbelino Souza & Cira Souza Pitombo & Dong Yang, 2021. "Port choice in Brazil: a qualitative research related to in-depth interviews," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, December.
    7. Achilleas Tsantis & John Mangan & Agustina Calatayud & Roberto Palacin, 2023. "Container shipping: a systematic literature review of themes and factors that influence the establishment of direct connections between countries," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(4), pages 667-697, December.
    8. Martínez-Moya, Julián & Feo-Valero, María, 2022. "Do shippers’ characteristics influence port choice criteria? Capturing heterogeneity by using latent class models," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 96-105.
    9. Julián Martínez Moya & María Feo Valero, 2017. "Port choice in container market: a literature review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 300-321, May.
    10. Martínez-Moya, Julián & Feo-Valero, María, 2020. "Measuring foreland container port connectivity disaggregated by destination markets: An index for Short Sea Shipping services in Spanish ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Balci, Gökcay & Cetin, Ismail Bilge & Esmer, Soner, 2018. "An evaluation of competition and selection criteria between dry bulk terminals in Izmir," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 294-304.
    12. Hokey Min & Byung-In Park, 2020. "A two-dimensional approach to assessing the impact of port selection factors on port competitiveness using the Kano model," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 22(3), pages 353-382, September.
    13. Peng, Peng & Yang, Yu & Lu, Feng & Cheng, Shifen & Mou, Naixia & Yang, Ren, 2018. "Modelling the competitiveness of the ports along the Maritime Silk Road with big data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 852-867.
    14. César Ducruet, 2020. "The geography of maritime networks: A critical review," Post-Print halshs-02922543, HAL.
    15. Tovar, Beatriz & Hernández, Rubén & Rodríguez-Déniz, Héctor, 2015. "Container port competitiveness and connectivity: The Canary Islands main ports case," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 40-51.
    16. Deng, Ping & Song, Lian & Xiao, Ruiqi & Huang, Chengfeng, 2022. "Evaluation of logistics and port connectivity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 249-267.
    17. Li, Shengchao & Cao, Xiaoshu & Liao, Wang & He, Yongquan, 2020. "Factors in the sea ports-of-entry and road ports-of-entry cross-border logistics route choice," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    18. Wang, Xinchang & Meng, Qiang & Miao, Lixin, 2016. "Delimiting port hinterlands based on intermodal network flows: Model and algorithm," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 32-51.
    19. Dadashpoor, Hashem & Arasteh, Mojtaba, 2020. "Core-port connectivity: Towards shaping a national hinterland in a West Asia country," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 57-68.
    20. Sang-Yoon Lee & Hyunwoo Lim & Hwa-Joong Kim, 2017. "Forecasting container port volume: implications for dredging," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(2), pages 296-314, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:117:y:2018:i:c:p:96-107. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600244/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.