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The structural outcomes of investment surges

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  • Hoyos, Mateo
  • Libman, Emiliano
  • Razmi, Arslan

Abstract

We study the extent to which countries undergo structural change during and after episodes of sustained investment surges. In particular, we explore the evolution of trade flows, considering (i) exports sophistication or complexity, (ii) exports diversification, and (iii) capital goods imports. Using the episodes identified by Libman et al. (2019), we document the heterogeneous nature of these episodes and find that, while imports of capital goods increase, they are not systematically related to changes in sophistication, complexity and diversification of exports, at least for the available sample of 130 episodes over the period 1962-2014. High investment may often be a necessary but not sufficient condition for structural change.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoyos, Mateo & Libman, Emiliano & Razmi, Arslan, 2021. "The structural outcomes of investment surges," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 245-255.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:58:y:2021:i:c:p:245-255
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2021.06.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital accumulation; Diversification; Economic complexity; Development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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