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Does managerial market timing with stock repurchases exist in stock market? Evidence from Thailand

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  • Kumpamool, Chamaiporn

Abstract

This study examines the presence of managerial market timing with stock repurchases in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) from 2008 to 2017. We find that managerial market timing with stock repurchases does not exist in an emerging market (namely, Thailand) supporting the theory of pseudo market timing, as the probability of stock repurchases is not related to undervalued stocks. However, there are other motivations for conducting stock repurchases rather than managerial market timing including the distribution of excessive cash flow due to high operating income and no good future investment opportunity, and the change of capital structure because of underleverage. Our findings are supportive to the free cash flow, capital market allocation, and trade-off theories. In addition, we also find that timing firms tend to suffer from the deterioration of Tobin q ratio, market value added (MVA) and economic value added (EVA), and they do not rebalance their capital structure after this event.

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  • Kumpamool, Chamaiporn, 2024. "Does managerial market timing with stock repurchases exist in stock market? Evidence from Thailand," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1059056024006348
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103642
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market timing; Stock repurchases; Capital structure; Emerging market; Thailand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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