IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v243y2025ics0960148125002629.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Carbon emissions cost pass-through effect in the reserve ancillary services market

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Yiqi
  • Lu, Huiyu
  • Yang, Yang
  • Ji, Junping
  • He, Daojing
  • Huang, Qisheng

Abstract

Reserve ancillary services play a crucial role in maintaining the stability and flexibility of the power system. In this study, a multi-agent model was constructed using the experience-weighted attraction (EWA) algorithm to simulate the bidding behaviors of coal-fired, green, and energy storage reserve units. Under this microperspective-driven framework, the pass-through effects of carbon costs in the reserve ancillary services market under various parameters related to market structure and bidding behavior were investigated. The findings revealed that the pass-through effects of carbon costs on reserve ancillary service prices are complex games with a process of volatility convergence, with convergence occurring between 10th and 11th terms. Owing to the accumulative chain reaction in updating ask prices, the carbon cost pass-through rates are higher than the bidding multipliers, which increases the additional financial gains for the reserve units. This study identifies multiple variables that influence carbon cost pass-through rates and proposes formulas to account for the shifts in pass-through rates as the values of certain key variables vary. Fierce competition on the supply side of reserve ancillary services can increase the carbon cost pass-through rates. Moreover, sensitivity analysis results supported the robustness of our simulation results and enriched the conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Yiqi & Lu, Huiyu & Yang, Yang & Ji, Junping & He, Daojing & Huang, Qisheng, 2025. "Carbon emissions cost pass-through effect in the reserve ancillary services market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:243:y:2025:i:c:s0960148125002629
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.122600
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148125002629
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2025.122600?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lan, Liuhan & Zhang, Xingping & Zhang, Youzhong, 2023. "Low carbon and efficiency oriented day-ahead joint electrical energy and ancillary services market clearing model for generation-side in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    2. Natalia Fabra & Mar Reguant, 2014. "Pass-Through of Emissions Costs in Electricity Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(9), pages 2872-2899, September.
    3. Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2022. "China’s Carbon Market: Development, Evaluation, Coordination of Local and National Carbon Markets and Common Prosperity," FEEM Working Papers 328581, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    4. Colin Camerer & Teck-Hua Ho, 1999. "Experience-weighted Attraction Learning in Normal Form Games," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(4), pages 827-874, July.
    5. Nazifi, Fatemeh & Trück, Stefan & Zhu, Liangxu, 2021. "Carbon pass-through rates on spot electricity prices in Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    6. Hu, Junfeng & Yan, Qingyou & Kahrl, Fredrich & Liu, Xu & Wang, Peng & Lin, Jiang, 2021. "Evaluating the ancillary services market for large-scale renewable energy integration in China's northeastern power grid," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Drew Fudenberg & David K Levine, 2006. "An Economists Perspective on Multi-Agent Learning," Levine's Working Paper Archive 784828000000000683, David K. Levine.
    8. Wu, Zhaoyuan & Zhou, Ming & Zhang, Ting & Li, Gengyin & Zhang, Yan & Liu, Xiaojuan, 2020. "Imbalance settlement evaluation for China's balancing market design via an agent-based model with a multiple criteria decision analysis method," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. Beat Hintermann, 2016. "Pass-Through of CO2 Emission Costs to Hourly Electricity Prices in Germany," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(4), pages 857-891.
    10. Wu, Zhaoyuan & Zhou, Ming & Li, Gengyin & Zhao, Tong & Zhang, Yan & Liu, Xiaojuan, 2020. "Interaction between balancing market design and market behaviour of wind power producers in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    11. Sijm, Jos & Chen, Yihsu & Hobbs, Benjamin F., 2012. "The impact of power market structure on CO2 cost pass-through to electricity prices under quantity competition – A theoretical approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1143-1152.
    12. Gils, Hans Christian & Scholz, Yvonne & Pregger, Thomas & Luca de Tena, Diego & Heide, Dominik, 2017. "Integrated modelling of variable renewable energy-based power supply in Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 173-188.
    13. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Knápek, Jaroslav, 2023. "Assessing flexibility options in electricity market clearing," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    14. Ding, Yihong & Tan, Qinliang & Shan, Zijing & Han, Jian & Zhang, Yimei, 2023. "A two-stage dispatching optimization strategy for hybrid renewable energy system with low-carbon and sustainability in ancillary service market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 647-659.
    15. Sebastian Wehrle & Johannes Schmidt, 2018. "District heating systems under high CO2 emission prices: the role of the pass-through from emission cost to electricity prices," Papers 1810.02109, arXiv.org.
    16. Zhang, Lirong & Li, Yakun & Jia, Zhijie, 2018. "Impact of carbon allowance allocation on power industry in China’s carbon trading market: Computable general equilibrium based analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 814-827.
    17. Wang, Wei & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2022. "Does China's carbon emissions trading scheme affect the market power of high-carbon enterprises?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    18. Vannoni, Alberto & Sorce, Alessandro, 2024. "Integrated energy and ancillary services optimized management and risk analysis within a pay-as-bid market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    19. Badesa, Luis & Strbac, Goran & Magill, Matt & Stojkovska, Biljana, 2021. "Ancillary services in Great Britain during the COVID-19 lockdown: A glimpse of the carbon-free future," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    20. Donglan Liu & Xin Liu & Kun Guo & Qiang Ji & Yingxian Chang, 2023. "Spillover Effects among Electricity Prices, Traditional Energy Prices and Carbon Market under Climate Risk," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-18, January.
    21. Wang, Hao-ran & Feng, Tian-tian & Zhong, Cheng, 2023. "Effectiveness of CO2 cost pass-through to electricity prices under “electricity-carbon” market coupling in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Yan & Feng, Tian-tian & Liu, Li-li & Zhang, Meng-xi, 2023. "How do the electricity market and carbon market interact and achieve integrated development?--A bibliometric-based review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Feng, Sida & Zhang, Xingping & Zhang, Haonan & Ju, Liwei & Zhang, Xinyue, 2024. "A two-stage bi-level electricity-carbon coordinated optimization model for China's coal-fired power system considering variable renewable energy bidding," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    3. Chen, Zhe & Chen, Yan-ling & Su, Yue & Wang, Xue-ying & Wu, You, 2023. "The CO2 cost pass-through in nonlinear emission trading schemes," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    4. Liu, S.Y. & Wang, M. & Zhou, P., 2025. "Carbon pass-through in Chinese cement industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    5. Wang, Hao-ran & Feng, Tian-tian & Zhong, Cheng, 2023. "Effectiveness of CO2 cost pass-through to electricity prices under “electricity-carbon” market coupling in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    6. Ding Ding, 2022. "The impacts of carbon pricing on the electricity market in Japan," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    7. Wang, M. & Zhou, P., 2022. "A two-step auction-refund allocation rule of CO2 emission permits," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    8. Andrianesis, Panagiotis & Biskas, Pandelis & Liberopoulos, George, 2021. "Evaluating the cost of emissions in a pool-based electricity market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    9. Julia Anna Bingler & Chiara Colesanti Senni, 2020. "Taming the Green Swan: How to improve climate-related financial risk assessments," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 20/340, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    10. Gonçalves, Ricardo & Menezes, Flávio, 2024. "The carbon tax and the crisis in Australia’s National Electricity Market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Hindriks, Jean & Serse, Valerio, 2022. "The incidence of VAT reforms in electricity markets: Evidence from Belgium," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Bowei Guo & Giorgio Castagneto Gissey, 2019. "Cost Pass-through in the British Wholesale Electricity Market: Implications of Brexit and the ETS reform," Working Papers EPRG1937, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    13. Jiang, Kai & Yan, Xiaohe & Liu, Nian & Wang, Peng, 2022. "Energy trade-offs in coupled ICM and electricity market under dynamic carbon emission intensity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    14. von Graevenitz, Kathrine & Rottner, Elisa & Richter, Philipp M., 2023. "Is Germany becoming the European pollution haven?," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-069, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    15. Naegele, Helene & Zaklan, Aleksandar, 2019. "Does the EU ETS cause carbon leakage in European manufacturing?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 125-147.
    16. Woo, C.K. & Chen, Y. & Olson, A. & Moore, J. & Schlag, N. & Ong, A. & Ho, T., 2017. "Electricity price behavior and carbon trading: New evidence from California," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 531-543.
    17. Brown, David P. & Eckert, Andrew & Eckert, Heather, 2018. "Carbon pricing with an output subsidy under imperfect competition: The case of Alberta's restructured electricity market," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 102-123.
    18. Wozny, Florian, 2024. "Tax Incidence in Heterogeneous Markets: The Pass-through of Air Passenger Taxes on Airfares," IZA Discussion Papers 16783, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    19. Woo, C.K. & Olson, A. & Chen, Y. & Moore, J. & Schlag, N. & Ong, A. & Ho, T., 2017. "Does California's CO2 price affect wholesale electricity prices in the Western U.S.A.?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 9-19.
    20. Fatemeh Nazifi, 2016. "The pass-through rates of carbon costs on to electricity prices within the Australian National Electricity Market," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 18(1), pages 41-62, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:243:y:2025:i:c:s0960148125002629. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.