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The impact of oil price shocks on stock market activities: Asymmetric effect with quantile regression

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  • Lee, Chien-Chiang
  • Zeng, Jhih-Hong

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of changes in real oil prices on the real stock returns of G7 countries. In addition to investigating the asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on stock returns, we also examine the effect of the performances of stock markets themselves, which are relevant to firms’ strategies in the future. Although the responses of stock markets to oil price shocks are diverse among G7 countries, we present the inconsistent reflections of stock markets based on their performances. In many cases, quantile regression estimates are quite different from OLS models. These results carry crucial implications for the linkage between oil and stock markets.

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  • Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zeng, Jhih-Hong, 2011. "The impact of oil price shocks on stock market activities: Asymmetric effect with quantile regression," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(9), pages 1910-1920.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:81:y:2011:i:9:p:1910-1920
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2011.03.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Moya-Martínez, Pablo & Ferrer-Lapeña, Román & Escribano-Sotos, Francisco, 2014. "Oil price risk in the Spanish stock market: An industry perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 280-290.
    2. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Yoon, Kyung Hwan, 2015. "Time-varying effect of oil market shocks on the stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 150-163.
    3. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-23.
    4. Zhang, Chuanguo & Chen, Xiaoqing, 2011. "The impact of global oil price shocks on China’s stock returns: Evidence from the ARJI(-ht)-EGARCH model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6627-6633.
    5. repec:eee:reveco:v:49:y:2017:i:c:p:453-483 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ding, Haoyuan & Kim, Hyung-Gun & Park, Sung Y., 2016. "Crude oil and stock markets: Causal relationships in tails?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-69.
    7. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    8. Yen-Hsien Lee & Ya-Ling Huang & Chun-Yu Wu, 2014. "Dynamic Correlations and Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns: The Implications for Optimal Portfolio Construction," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(3), pages 327-336.
    9. Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2013. "The impact of global oil price shocks on the Lebanese stock market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 366-374.
    10. Li, Su-Fang & Zhu, Hui-Ming & Yu, Keming, 2012. "Oil prices and stock market in China: A sector analysis using panel cointegration with multiple breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1951-1958.
    11. repec:eee:ecmode:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:258-271 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. repec:eee:eneeco:v:68:y:2017:i:c:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Zhu, Huiming & Guo, Yawei & You, Wanhai & Xu, Yaqin, 2016. "The heterogeneity dependence between crude oil price changes and industry stock market returns in China: Evidence from a quantile regression approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 30-41.
    14. BENKRAIEM, Ramzi & Lahiani, Amine & MILOUDI, Anthony & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "New Insights into the US Stock Market Reactions to Energy Price Shocks," MPRA Paper 84778, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Feb 2018.
    15. Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Hui & Peng, Cheng & Yang, Yan, 2016. "Extreme dependence between crude oil and stock markets in Asia-Pacific regions: Evidence from quantile regression," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-46, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

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    Keywords

    Oil prices; Stock returns; Quantile regression; Structural breaks; G7 countries;

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