IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v92y2020ics0264837719317375.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sustainable valuation of land for development. Adding value with urban planning progress. A Spanish case study

Author

Listed:
  • Codosero Rodas, José Maria
  • Castanho, Rui Alexandre
  • Cabezas Fernández, José
  • Naranjo Gómez, José Manuel

Abstract

This article presents a valuation model of land for development in a sustainable way, based on the design and execution of urban planning. Using this method, one can obtain, at any given point in time, the added value progress of the urbanization process. For each year during the plan’s execution, the value of land has been estimated. The free cash-flow method was applied in order to estimate the land valuation of any given year. From the estimate for each of those years, and using regression analysis, the most suited value added function was obtained, for the increase of value across time up to the point of finalized, fully urbanized land. The results show that this is an exponential growth function, such that during the initial years the progress of valuation is slow, but it accentuates during final years of execution as the land becomes urbanized, at which point the land achieves maximum value.

Suggested Citation

  • Codosero Rodas, José Maria & Castanho, Rui Alexandre & Cabezas Fernández, José & Naranjo Gómez, José Manuel, 2020. "Sustainable valuation of land for development. Adding value with urban planning progress. A Spanish case study," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:92:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719317375
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104456
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837719317375
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104456?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. André Farber & Roland Gillet & Ariane Szafarz, 2005. "A general formula for the WACC," Working Papers CEB 05-012.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Saaty, Thomas L., 2003. "Decision-making with the AHP: Why is the principal eigenvector necessary," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 85-91, February.
    3. Rui Alexandre Castanho & Luís Loures & José Cabezas & Luis Fernández-Pozo, 2017. "Cross-Border Cooperation (CBC) in Southern Europe—An Iberian Case Study. The Eurocity Elvas-Badajoz," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-16, March.
    4. Gluszak, Michal & Zygmunt, Robert, 2018. "Development density, administrative decisions, and land values: An empirical investigation," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 153-161.
    5. Davis, Morris A. & Palumbo, Michael G., 2008. "The price of residential land in large US cities," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 352-384, January.
    6. Nichols, Joseph B. & Oliner, Stephen D. & Mulhall, Michael R., 2013. "Swings in commercial and residential land prices in the United States," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 57-76.
    7. Vaidya, Omkarprasad S. & Kumar, Sushil, 2006. "Analytic hierarchy process: An overview of applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 1-29, February.
    8. José Maria Codosero Rodas & José Manuel Naranjo Gómez & Rui Alexandre Castanho & José Cabezas, 2018. "Land Valuation Sustainable Model of Urban Planning Development: A Case Study in Badajoz, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
    9. Glumac, Brano & Herrera-Gomez, Marcos & Licheron, Julien, 2019. "A hedonic urban land price index," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 802-812.
    10. Ohlson, JA & Zhang, XJ, 1999. "On the theory of forecast horizon in equity valuation," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 437-449.
    11. Frank, Murray Z. & Shen, Tao, 2016. "Investment and the weighted average cost of capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 300-315.
    12. Tan Yigitcanlar & Fatih Dur, 2010. "Developing a Sustainability Assessment Model: The Sustainable Infrastructure, Land-Use, Environment and Transport Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-20, January.
    13. Ihlanfeldt, Keith R., 2007. "The effect of land use regulation on housing and land prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 420-435, May.
    14. José María Codosero Rodas & José Cabezas Fernández & José Manuel Naranjo Gómez & Rui Alexandre Castanho, 2019. "Risk Premium Assessment for the Sustainable Valuation of Urban Development Land: Evidence from Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-21, August.
    15. Giacomo Morri & Fabio Cristanziani, 2009. "What determines the capital structure of real estate companies?," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(4), pages 318-372, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rui Alexandre Castanho & Gualter Couto & Pedro Pimentel & Célia Barreto Carvalho & Áurea Sousa, 2020. "Territorial Management and Governance, Regional Public Policies and their Relationship with Tourism. A Case Study of the Azores Autonomous Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.
    2. Gualter Couto & Rui Alexandre Castanho & Pedro Pimentel & Célia Carvalho & Áurea Sousa & Carlos Santos, 2020. "The Impacts of COVID-19 Crisis over the Tourism Expectations of the Azores Archipelago Residents," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-14, September.
    3. Couto, Gualter & Martins, Dulce & Pimentel, Pedro & Castanho, Rui Alexandre, 2021. "Investments on urban land valuation by real options – The Portuguese case," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    4. Rui Alexandre Castanho & José Manuel Naranjo Gómez & Gualter Couto & Pedro Pimentel & Áurea Sousa & Maria da Graça Batista, 2021. "Analyzing the Patterns, Trends and Dynamics of the Land-Use Changes in Azores Region: From 1990 to 2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. José Maria Codosero Rodas & José Manuel Naranjo Gómez & Rui Alexandre Castanho & José Cabezas, 2018. "Land Valuation Sustainable Model of Urban Planning Development: A Case Study in Badajoz, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
    2. Gyourko, Joseph & Molloy, Raven, 2015. "Regulation and Housing Supply," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 1289-1337, Elsevier.
    3. Kok, Nils & Monkkonen, Paavo & Quigley, John M., 2014. "Land use regulations and the value of land and housing: An intra-metropolitan analysis," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 136-148.
    4. Hengstermann, Andreas & Götze, Vera, 2023. "Planning-related land value changes for explaining instruments of compensation and value capture in Switzerland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Han, Wenjing & Zhang, Xiaoling & Zheng, Xian, 2020. "Land use regulation and urban land value: Evidence from China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Madjid Tavana & Mariya Sodenkamp & Leena Suhl, 2010. "A soft multi-criteria decision analysis model with application to the European Union enlargement," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 181(1), pages 393-421, December.
    7. Larson, William D. & Shui, Jessica, 2022. "Land valuation using public records and kriging: Implications for land versus property taxation in cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    8. Gyourko, Joe & Krimmel, Jacob, 2021. "The impact of local residential land use restrictions on land values across and within single family housing markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    9. H. Spencer Banzhaf & Kyle Mangum, 2019. "Capitalization as a Two-Part Tariff: The Role of Zoning," NBER Working Papers 25699, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Bahadir, Berrak & Mykhaylova, Olena, 2014. "Housing market dynamics with delays in the construction sector," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 94-108.
    11. Couto, Gualter & Martins, Dulce & Pimentel, Pedro & Castanho, Rui Alexandre, 2021. "Investments on urban land valuation by real options – The Portuguese case," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    12. Richard Arnott & Huiling Zhang, 2015. "The Aggregate Value of Land in the Greater Los Angeles Region," Working Papers 201506, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    13. William Larson, 2015. "New Estimates of Value of Land of the United States," BEA Working Papers 0120, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
    14. Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel, 2016. "No‐Bubble Condition: Model‐Free Tests in Housing Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1047-1091, May.
    15. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & John M. Clapp, 2017. "Local Polynomial Regressions versus OLS for Generating Location Value Estimates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 365-385, April.
    16. Dong, Yucheng & Xu, Yinfeng & Li, Hongyi & Dai, Min, 2008. "A comparative study of the numerical scales and the prioritization methods in AHP," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 229-242, April.
    17. Davis, Morris A. & Larson, William D. & Oliner, Stephen D. & Shui, Jessica, 2021. "The price of residential land for counties, ZIP codes, and census tracts in the United States," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 413-431.
    18. d’Amato, Maurizio & Zrobek, Sabina & Renigier Bilozor, Malgorzata & Walacik, Marek & Mercadante, Giuseppe, 2019. "Valuing the effect of the change of zoning on underdeveloped land using fuzzy real option approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 365-374.
    19. Yuan, Feng & Wei, Yehua Dennis & Xiao, Weiye, 2019. "Land marketization, fiscal decentralization, and the dynamics of urban land prices in transitional China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Nichols, Joseph B. & Oliner, Stephen D. & Mulhall, Michael R., 2013. "Swings in commercial and residential land prices in the United States," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 57-76.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:92:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719317375. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.