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Unfolding the price effects of non-ferrous industry chain on economic development: A case study of Yunnan province

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  • Qu, Qiushi
  • Wang, Limao
  • Cao, Zhi
  • Zhong, Shuai
  • Mou, Chufu
  • Sun, Yanzhi
  • Xiong, Chenran

Abstract

Price changes in the non-ferrous metal industry affect economic development, especially in resource-rich regions. However, the degree of price fluctuation differs among sectors in this industry. These differences would mislead policy makers on formulating policy about the long-term development of economic and industry. Existing studies do not present the whole feature picture regarding the effects of price changes in the non-ferrous metal industry. This paper analyzes the segmented effects of prices in the non-ferrous metal industry chain on economic development in Yunnan province, China. The effects caused by price changes in the mining, smelting, and processing sectors were studied using a static computable general equilibrium model with a looping algorithm to avoid omitting the key point of price. Furthermore, the relationships between sectors are discussed by categorizing the effects into crowding-out and pulling effects. Considering the situation of non-ferrous industry in China, the scenarios of price change between −30% and 30% in different sectors of the non-ferrous metal industry were developed. The results show that decreases in the smelting price benefit regional economic development and international trade. Price changes in the mid-stream smelting sector generate more pulling effects than changes in other sectors. This suggests that regional economic development can be promoted by adjusting the smelting price of non-ferrous metals in regions with abundant non-ferrous metal resources. Moreover, as price changes bring different crowding-out and pulling effects among sectors, new price-related policies should consider the effects on other sectors of the industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Qu, Qiushi & Wang, Limao & Cao, Zhi & Zhong, Shuai & Mou, Chufu & Sun, Yanzhi & Xiong, Chenran, 2019. "Unfolding the price effects of non-ferrous industry chain on economic development: A case study of Yunnan province," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-20.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:61:y:2019:i:c:p:1-20
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.01.011
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