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Halving poverty in HIPC countries by 2015: How costly if achievable?

  • Nwachukwu, Jacinta
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    This article assesses the likelihood and costs of halving the poverty headcount ratio by 2015 from its 1990 levels in sixteen post-HIPC-MDRI countries. An optimistic pro-poor growth scenario indicates that, on average, they will attain this goal 2 years before the end date. An estimated annual cost of 16 percent of the recipients' GDPs suggests that currently available funds will be sufficient to finance the MDG poverty target, provided that they achieve a 6 percent annual economic growth, improve their equality of incomes and implement policies to raise absorptive capacity to levels obtained by East Asian countries in the mid-1990s.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V82-50TRX12-1/2/70ede8e9907a0b53c16501a6b85ab6f7
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Policy Modeling.

    Volume (Year): 33 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 2 (March)
    Pages: 213-225

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:33:y:2011:i:2:p:213-225
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505735

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    1. Dollar, David & Kraay, Aart, 2001. "Growth is good for the poor," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2587, The World Bank.
    2. Lucia Hanmer & Niek De Jong & Rachel Kurian & Jos Mooij, 1999. "Are the DAC targets achievable? Poverty and human development in the year 2015," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(4), pages 547-563.
    3. Sachs, Jeffrey D & Warner, Andrew M, 1997. "Sources of Slow Growth in African Economies," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 6(3), pages 335-76, October.
    4. Addy, Samuel N., 2001. "Note on a computable general equilibrium model for Ghana: Identifying growth areas," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(7), pages 821-824, October.
    5. Shaohua Chen & Datt, Gaurav & Ravallion, Martin, 1993. "Is poverty increasing in the developing world?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1146, The World Bank.
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    7. Jacinta Nwachukwu, 2008. "Foreign Capital Inflows, Economic Policies and the Real Exchange Rate in Sub Saharan Africa: Is there an Interaction Effect?," Brooks World Poverty Institute Working Paper Series 2508, BWPI, The University of Manchester.
    8. Löfgren, Hans & Harris, Rebecca Lee & Robinson, Sherman, 2001. "A standard computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in GAMS," TMD discussion papers 75, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    9. Ravallion, Martin & Sen, Binayak, 1996. "When Method Matters: Monitoring Poverty in Bangladesh," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(4), pages 761-92, July.
    10. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Miller, Margaret J. & Swanson, Eric V., 2002. "Goals for development : history, prospects and costs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2819, The World Bank.
    11. Easterly, William, 1999. "The ghost of financing gap: testing the growth model used in the international financial institutions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 423-438, December.
    12. Rob Vos & Marco V Sanchez & Keiji Inoue, 2007. "Constraints to achieving the MDGs through domestic resource mobilization," Working Papers 36, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
    13. Solimano, Andres, 2003. "Remittances by Emigrants: Issues and Evidence," Working Paper Series UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    14. Nanak Kakwani & Hyun H. Son, 2006. "How costly is it to achieve the Millennium Development Goal of halving poverty between 1990 and 2015?," Working Papers 19, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    15. Dorosh, Paul A. & Sahn, David E., 2000. "A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effect of Macroeconomic Adjustment on Poverty in Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 753-776, November.
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