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Trend growth and optimal monetary policy

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  • Mattesini, Fabrizio
  • Nisticò, Salvatore

Abstract

This paper analyzes the optimal behavior of the Central Bank in an economy characterized by balanced growth. We show how trend-growth affects the dynamics of inflation, the preferences of a welfare-maximizing Central Bank and optimal monetary policy. In particular, we show that the optimal monetary policy response to cost-push shocks is not invariant to trend growth, and that countries with lower trend growth have substantially higher incentives to commit to simple rules, both from a welfare and price-stability perspectives.

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  • Mattesini, Fabrizio & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2010. "Trend growth and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 797-815, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:32:y:2010:i:3:p:797-815
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    2. Chen, Huiying, 2020. "Nominal GDP targeting, real economic activity and inflation stabilization in a new Keynesian framework," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 53-63.
    3. Ascari, Guido & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Rossi, Lorenza, 2011. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a trend inflation world: An empirical investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 1852-1867.
    4. Franke, Reiner, 2013. "Competitive Moment Matching of a New-Keynesian and an Old-Keynesian Model," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79988, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Chen, Huiying, 2021. "On the welfare implications of nominal GDP targeting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Milton Yago & Alaa M. Soliman & Junjie Wu, 2016. "Financial stability, wealth effects and optimal macroeconomic policy combination in the United Kingdom: A new-Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1136098-113, December.
    7. Hasui Kohei, 2021. "Trend Growth and Robust Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 449-472, June.
    8. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2011. "Trend growth and the dynamic effects of government spending," Kiel Working Papers 1678, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    9. Annicchiarico, Barbara & Rossi, Lorenza, 2013. "Optimal monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with endogenous growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 274-285.
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