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What leads some countries to experience larger decreases in foreign flows during low-flow episodes? Evidence from international portfolio flows

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  • Wang, Xichen
  • Duan, Xiaomei

Abstract

This paper investigates the drivers explaining the heterogeneous responses of foreign portfolio investors across 43 emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) during low-flow episodes. Our investigations reveal several findings: (a) During low-flow episodes, EMDEs with stronger macroeconomic/institutional fundamentals—e.g., larger foreign reserves, less public indebtedness, and better institutional quality—suffer fewer reductions in foreign inflows. (b) EMDEs with more open/developed financial markets attract more portfolio inflows during surges but suffer larger declines during stops. Hence, we provide evidence supporting the foreign investor differentiation (according to fundamentals) and the mixed blessing of financial sectors hypothesis.

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  • Wang, Xichen & Duan, Xiaomei, 2024. "What leads some countries to experience larger decreases in foreign flows during low-flow episodes? Evidence from international portfolio flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:148:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624001529
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103165
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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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