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Macro-Networks: An application to euro area financial accounts

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  • Castrén, Olli
  • Rancan, Michela

Abstract

This paper develops a financial network, designated the “Macro-Network”, that depicts the connections between the main financial and non-financial sectors of the economy in the various financial instruments of the euro area. The Macro-Network comprises of linkages across financial and non-financial sectors in each country. These country-level sector networks are then connected by the cross-border links between the individual banking sectors. Using the Macro-Network to simulate financial shocks, we find that the propagation effects depend on the underlying network structure, which evolves over time. After the financial crisis, bilateral linkages contracted sharply, reflecting the surge in counterparty risk and the de-leveraging processes. Nonetheless, our analysis suggests that even after this process, vulnerabilities remained in the euro area financial system, while a more diversified portfolio of cross-border exposures might mitigate the shock effects. We identify sectors which are most relevant for the propagation of financial shocks in the Macro-Network.

Suggested Citation

  • Castrén, Olli & Rancan, Michela, 2014. "Macro-Networks: An application to euro area financial accounts," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 43-58.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:46:y:2014:i:c:p:43-58
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.04.027
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    2. Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013. "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series 152, European Central Bank.
    3. Cimini, Riccardo, 2015. "Eurozone network “Connectedness” after fiscal year 2008," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 160-166.
    4. Nuno Silva, 2015. "The euro area financial network and the need for better integration," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    5. Chiara Perillo & Stefano Battiston, 2020. "Financialization and unconventional monetary policy: a financial-network analysis," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1385-1428, November.
    6. Castrén, Olli & Kavonius, Ilja Kristian & Rancan, Michela, 2022. "Digital currencies in financial networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    7. Benbouzid, Nadia & Leonida, Leone & Mallick, Sushanta K., 2018. "The non-monotonic impact of bank size on their default swap spreads: Cross-country evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 226-240.
    8. Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego & Dées, Stéphane & Andersson, Malin & Bijsterbosch, Martin & Forster, Katrin & Zorell, Nico & Audoly, Richard & Buelens, Christian & Compeyron, Guillaume & Ferrando, Annali, 2016. "Savings and investment behaviour in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 167, European Central Bank.
    9. Daeyup Lee & Hail Park, 2019. "Measuring Global Financial Linkages: A Network Entropy Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-10, August.
    10. Paltalidis, Nikos & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kizys, Renatas & Koutelidakis, Yiannis, 2015. "Transmission channels of systemic risk and contagion in the European financial network," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 36-52.
    11. Hüser, Anne-Caroline & Kok, Christoffer, 2019. "Mapping bank securities across euro area sectors: comparing funding and exposure networks," Working Paper Series 2273, European Central Bank.
    12. Fathin Faizah Said, 2017. "Global Banking on the Financial Network Modelling: Sectorial Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(2), pages 227-253, February.
    13. I�aki Aldasoro & Ignazio Angeloni, 2015. "Input-output-based measures of systemic importance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 589-606, April.
    14. Spiros Bougheas & Alan Kirman, 2015. "Complex Financial Networks and Systemic Risk: A Review," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Pasquale Commendatore & Saime Kayam & Ingrid Kubin (ed.), Complexity and Geographical Economics, edition 127, pages 115-139, Springer.
    15. Tuomas Antero Peltonen & Michela Rancan & Peter Sarlin, 2019. "Interconnectedness of the banking sector as a vulnerability to crises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(2), pages 963-990, April.
    16. Chuangxia Huang & Jie Cao & Fenghua Wen & Xiaoguang Yang, 2016. "Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-22, August.
    17. Cussen, Mary, 2017. "Identifying Inter-Sectoral Exposures in Ireland using Network Analysis," Economic Letters 03/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    18. David Aikman & Daniel Beale & Adam Brinley-Codd & Anne-Caroline Hüser & Giovanni Covi & Caterina Lepore, 2023. "Macro-Prudential Stress Test Models: A Survey," IMF Working Papers 2023/173, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Curcio, Domenico & Gianfrancesco, Igor & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Climate change and financial systemic risk: Evidence from US banks and insurers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Stolbova, Veronika & Monasterolo, Irene & Battiston, Stefano, 2018. "A Financial Macro-Network Approach to Climate Policy Evaluation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 239-253.
    21. Paola Bongini & Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Paweł Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2018. "In search of a measure of banking sector distress: empirical study of CESEE banking sectors," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 242-257, August.
    22. Luiza Antoun de Almeida, 2015. "A Network Analysis of Sectoral Accounts: Identifying Sectoral Interlinkages in G-4 Economies," IMF Working Papers 2015/111, International Monetary Fund.
    23. António M Lopes & J A Tenreiro Machado & John S Huffstot & Maria Eugénia Mata, 2018. "Dynamical analysis of the global business-cycle synchronization," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-25, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial networks; Balance sheet contagion; Flow of funds; Cross-border exposures; Counterparty risk; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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