IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jbfina/v166y2024ics037842662400150x.html

Climate risk and payout flexibility around the world

Author

Listed:
  • Chang, Yuyuan
  • He, Wen
  • Mi, Lin

Abstract

Using a large sample of firms from 45 countries, we find that firms in countries with high-climate risk reduce their cash dividends but increasingly use share repurchases to make payouts. The evidence suggests that firms substitute dividends with repurchases to increase their payout flexibility in response to heightened climate risk. Operating volatility and financial constraints are two channels through which climate risk affects firms’ payout flexibility. Further analysis shows that the effect of climate risk on payout flexibility is more pronounced for firms that are more vulnerable to climate risk, and in countries where people are more concerned about climate risk and the national culture emphasizes uncertainty avoidance and long-term orientation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Yuyuan & He, Wen & Mi, Lin, 2024. "Climate risk and payout flexibility around the world," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:166:y:2024:i:c:s037842662400150x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107233
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037842662400150X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107233?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liang Shao & Chuck CY Kwok & Omrane Guedhami, 2010. "National culture and dividend policy," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 41(8), pages 1391-1414, October.
    2. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2001. "Disappearing Dividends: Changing Firm Characteristics Or Lower Propensity To Pay?," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 14(1), pages 67-79, March.
    3. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez‐De‐Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2006. "What Works in Securities Laws?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 1-32, February.
    4. Michaely, Roni & Moin, Amani, 2022. "Disappearing and reappearing dividends," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 207-226.
    5. Manoj Kulchania, 2016. "Cost Structure and Payout Policy," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 45(4), pages 981-1009, December.
    6. Huynh, Thanh D. & Nguyen, Thu Ha & Truong, Cameron, 2020. "Climate risk: The price of drought," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    7. Chay, J.B. & Suh, Jungwon, 2009. "Payout policy and cash-flow uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 88-107, July.
    8. Arena, Matteo P. & Julio, Brandon, 2023. "Litigation Risk Management Through Corporate Payout Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(1), pages 148-174, February.
    9. Skinner, Douglas J., 2008. "The evolving relation between earnings, dividends, and stock repurchases," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 582-609, March.
    10. Kiridaran Kanagaretnam & Chee Yeow Lim & Gerald J Lobo, 2011. "Effects of national culture on earnings quality of banks," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 42(6), pages 853-874, August.
    11. Thao Nguyen & Min Bai & Greg Hou & Cameron Truong, 2022. "Drought risk and capital structure dynamics," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(3), pages 3397-3439, September.
    12. Fatemi, Ali & Bildik, Recep, 2012. "Yes, dividends are disappearing: Worldwide evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 662-677.
    13. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "Author Correction: New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-2, December.
    14. Jagannathan, Murali & Stephens, Clifford P. & Weisbach, Michael S., 2000. "Financial flexibility and the choice between dividends and stock repurchases," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 355-384, September.
    15. Gustavo Grullon & Roni Michaely, 2002. "Dividends, Share Repurchases, and the Substitution Hypothesis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1649-1684, August.
    16. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    17. Qing Li & Hongyu Shan & Yuehua Tang & Vincent Yao, 2024. "Corporate Climate Risk: Measurements and Responses," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1778-1830.
    18. Darwin Choi & Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang, 2020. "Attention to Global Warming," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1112-1145.
    19. von Eije, Henk & Megginson, William L., 2008. "Dividends and share repurchases in the European Union," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 347-374, August.
    20. Tom Y Chang & Wei Huang & Yongxiang Wang, 2018. "Something in the Air: Pollution and the Demand for Health Insurance," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(3), pages 1609-1634.
    21. Attig, Najah & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Zheng, Xiaolan, 2021. "Dividends and economic policy uncertainty: International evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    22. Xu, Yongxin & Xuan, Yuhao & Zheng, Gaoping, 2021. "Internet searching and stock price crash risk: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 255-275.
    23. Michaely, Roni & Thaler, Richard H & Womack, Kent L, 1995. "Price Reactions to Dividend Initiations and Omissions: Overreaction or Drift?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 573-608, June.
    24. Jordan, Bradford D. & Liu, Mark H. & Wu, Qun, 2018. "Organizational Form and Corporate Payout Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(2), pages 789-813, April.
    25. Gerard Hoberg & Gordon Phillips & Nagpurnanand Prabhala, 2014. "Product Market Threats, Payouts, and Financial Flexibility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 293-324, February.
    26. Henry He Huang & Joseph Kerstein & Chong Wang, 2018. "The impact of climate risk on firm performance and financing choices: An international comparison," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(5), pages 633-656, July.
    27. Kumar, Anil & Vergara-Alert, Carles, 2020. "The Effect of Financial Flexibility on Payout Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(1), pages 263-289, February.
    28. S. P. Kothari & Susan Shu & Peter D. Wysocki, 2009. "Do Managers Withhold Bad News?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 47(1), pages 241-276, March.
    29. Mark T. Leary & Roni Michaely, 2011. "Determinants of Dividend Smoothing: Empirical Evidence," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(10), pages 3197-3249.
    30. Brav, Alon & Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Michaely, Roni, 2005. "Payout policy in the 21st century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 483-527, September.
    31. Sudheer Chava, 2014. "Environmental Externalities and Cost of Capital," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(9), pages 2223-2247, September.
    32. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    33. Renneboog, Luc & Trojanowski, Grzegorz, 2011. "Patterns in payout policy and payout channel choice," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1477-1490, June.
    34. Kahle, Kathleen & Stulz, René M., 2021. "Why are corporate payouts so high in the 2000s?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(3), pages 1359-1380.
    35. Jeremy Martinich & Allison Crimmins, 2019. "Climate damages and adaptation potential across diverse sectors of the United States," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(5), pages 397-404, May.
    36. Alice Adams Bonaimé & Kristine Watson Hankins & Jarrad Harford, 2014. "Financial Flexibility, Risk Management, and Payout Choice," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(4), pages 1074-1101.
    37. Dittmar, Amy K, 2000. "Why Do Firms Repurchase Stock?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73(3), pages 331-355, July.
    38. Wang, Zigan & Yin, Qie Ellie & Yu, Luping, 2021. "Real effects of share repurchases legalization on corporate behaviors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 197-219.
    39. Gustavo Grullon & Roni Michaely & Bhaskaran Swaminathan, 2002. "Are Dividend Changes a Sign of Firm Maturity?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(3), pages 387-424, July.
    40. Bae, Kee-Hong & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Zheng, Xiaolan, 2021. "Board Reforms and Dividend Policy: International Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(4), pages 1296-1320, June.
    41. Huynh, Thanh D. & Xia, Ying, 2021. "Climate Change News Risk and Corporate Bond Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(6), pages 1985-2009, September.
    42. Andy C W Chui & Alison E Lloyd & Chuck C Y Kwok, 2002. "The Determination of Capital Structure: Is National Culture a Missing Piece to the Puzzle?," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 33(1), pages 99-127, March.
    43. Jiang, Zhan & Kim, Kenneth A. & Lie, Erik & Yang, Sean, 2013. "Share repurchases, catering, and dividend substitution," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 36-50.
    44. Meghan R. Busse & Devin G. Pope & Jaren C. Pope & Jorge Silva-Risso, 2015. "The Psychological Effect of Weather on Car Purchases," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 130(1), pages 371-414.
    45. Steven N. Kaplan & Luigi Zingales, 1997. "Do Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Provide Useful Measures of Financing Constraints?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(1), pages 169-215.
    46. Lee Seltzer & Laura Starks & Qifei Zhu, 2022. "Climate Regulatory Risks and Corporate Bonds," Staff Reports 1014, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    47. Siamak Javadi & Abdullah‐Al Masum & Mohsen Aram & Ramesh P. Rao, 2023. "Climate change and corporate cash holdings: Global evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 253-295, June.
    48. Kulchania, Manoj, 2013. "Catering driven substitution in corporate payouts," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 180-195.
    49. Erik Lie, 2005. "Financial Flexibility, Performance, and the Corporate Payout Choice," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(6), pages 2179-2202, November.
    50. Painter, Marcus, 2020. "An inconvenient cost: The effects of climate change on municipal bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 468-482.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu Zhang & Hanlu Fan & Junru Zhang & Yuan George Shan & Qingliang Tang, 2025. "Climate Risk and Stock Price Crash: The Role of Text‐Based Carbon Disclosure," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 65(3), pages 3107-3141, September.
    2. Al-Dhamari, Redhwan & Baatwah, Saeed Rabea & Pucheta-Martínez, María Consuelo & Tawfik, Omar Ikbal, 2025. "Do environmental controversies lead to lower dividend payouts? The role of environmental performance and board gender diversity," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Zhao, Na & Zhang, Lin & Huang, Hui, 2025. "Influence of China's geopolitical risk on corporate dividend policies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Guesmi, Khaled & Makrychoriti, Panagiota & Pyrgiotakis, Emmanouil G., 2025. "Climate change exposure and green bonds issuance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Manoja Behera & Jitendra Mahakud, 2026. "Climate risk and corporate cash holdings: an international study," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 50(1), pages 1-43, December.
    6. Renzi, Antonio & Taragoni, Pietro & Vagnani, Gianluca, 2025. "Dynamic corporate payout smoothing: A structural vector autoregressive model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    7. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Lin, Weizheng & Chen, En-Jia, 2025. "Cyber risk and corporate share repurchases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. Duong, Kiet Tuan & Nguyen, Thong Trung & Tram, Huong Thi Xuan, 2025. "Biodiversity risk and corporate debt maturity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    9. Li, Wanli & Chen, Junrui & Yuan, Kaibin, 2025. "Changes in corporate employment under climate risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    10. Wang, Zhen & Wu, Kai, 2025. "How do institutional investors respond to climate change exposure? International evidence," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Zheng, Chen & Sun, Zhiyue, 2025. "Organisation capital: A key asset for mitigating firm-level climate change exposure," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3).
    12. Panetsidou, Styliani & Synapis, Angelos, 2025. "Do markets react to weather? Stock price reactions to weather alerts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    13. Olaboopo, Olakunle & Boamah, Evans O., 2026. "Climate change news risk and advertising spending," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    14. Thi Thuy Trang Nguyen & Eric Owusu Boahen & Cuong Nguyen, 2026. "Climate Change Risks and Customer Concentration: Evidence From US‐Listed Firms," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(5), pages 7141-7171, July.
    15. Zhou, Yang & Lucey, Brian M. & He, Feng, 2025. "Dividend payouts and biodiversity risk — Chinese evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    16. Shan, Junhui & Zhang, Lin & Wang, Junkai, 2025. "Data elements and corporate stock dividends: A quasi-natural experiment based on government data openness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adra, Samer & Gao, Yang & Huang, Jin & Yuan, Jiayi, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate payout policy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    2. Dang, Viet A. & De Cesari, Amedeo & Phan, Hieu V., 2021. "Employment protection and share repurchases: Evidence from wrongful discharge laws," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Alice Bonaimé & Jarrad Harford & Jarrad Harford, 2020. "Payout Policy Trade-Offs and the Rise of 10b5-1 Preset Repurchase Plans," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2762-2786, June.
    4. Zhang, Huilin & Boubaker, Sabri & Ni, Xiaoran, 2024. "Litigating payouts or not? Evidence from universal demand laws," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 136-153.
    5. Justin Hung Nguyen & Buhui Qiu, 2022. "The effect of skilled labor intensity on corporate dividend payouts," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(5-6), pages 963-1010, May.
    6. Wong, Jin Boon & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur, 2021. "Oil shocks and corporate payouts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Alzahrani, Mohammed & Lasfer, Meziane, 2012. "Investor protection, taxation, and dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 745-762.
    8. Basha, Shabeen Afsar & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Ben-Nasr, Hamdi & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2025. "Does political risk exacerbate climate risk? Firm-level evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    9. Szládek, Dániel, 2024. "Osztalékfizetés helyett részvény-visszavásárlás?. A részvény-visszavásárlások népszerűségének lehetséges okai [Share repurchases instead of dividend payments?. The evolution of payout policies and possible reasons for the prominence of share repur," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 154-175.
    10. Bradley Benson & Travis Davidson & Hui James & Hongxia Wang, 2022. "Board busyness and corporate payout: are all busy directors the same?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(3), pages 3711-3759, September.
    11. Cave, Joshua & Lancheros, Sandra, 2024. "Local peer influence on dividend payout decisions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    12. Somnath Das & Sandip Dhole, 2025. "Dividend cuts and a firm's investment opportunity set," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 91-126, February.
    13. Hui Liang James & Hongxia Wang, 2021. "Independent director tenure and dividends," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(5-6), pages 1057-1091, May.
    14. Hasan, Mostafa Monzur & Uddin, Mohammad Riaz, 2022. "Do intangibles matter for corporate policies? Evidence from organization capital and corporate payout choices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    15. H. Kent Baker & Erhan Kilincarslan & Sercan Demiralay, 2025. "A zero cash dividend policy: the UK experience," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 837-883, August.
    16. James, Hui & Benson, Bradley W. & Wu, Chen (Ken), 2017. "Does CEO ownership affect payout policy? Evidence from using CEO scaled wealth-performance sensitivity," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 328-345.
    17. Andriosopoulos, Dimitris & Hoque, Hafiz, 2013. "The determinants of share repurchases in Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 65-76.
    18. Yilin Luo & Chenkai Ni & James Thewissen, 2024. "Currency flotation and dividend policies: Evidence from China's central parity reform," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 53(1), pages 145-174, March.
    19. Asimakopoulos, Stylianos & Malley, James & Philippopoulos, Apostolis, 2025. "The firm-level and aggregate effects of corporate payout policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    20. Renneboog, Luc & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2020. "How relevant is dividend policy under low shareholder protection?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:166:y:2024:i:c:s037842662400150x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.