Modeling high-dimensional unit-root time series
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.09.008
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2014.
"Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 589-612.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6707, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2010. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7677, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Igor Masten & Massimiliano Marcellino & Anindya Banerjeey, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," RSCAS Working Papers 2009/32, European University Institute.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Working Papers 335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models," Discussion Papers 09-06r, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/15, European University Institute.
- Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2005.
"The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 830-840, September.
- Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Hallin, Marc & Forni, Mario, 2002. "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 3432, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2005. "The generalised dynamic factor model: one sided estimation and forecasting," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10129, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2003. "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model. One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2003/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Forni M. & Hallin M., 2003. "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 143, Society for Computational Economics.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2002.
"Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 191-221, January.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2000. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1504, Econometric Society.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2000. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 440, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Robinson, Peter M. & Yajima, Yoshihiro, 2002. "Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 217-241, February.
- Saikkonen, Pentti & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2000.
"Testing For The Cointegrating Rank Of A Var Process With An Intercept,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 373-406, June.
- Saikkonen, Pentti & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 1998. "Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with an intercept," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,51, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Osbat, 2004.
"Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(2), pages 322-340, December.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Osbat, "undated". "Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data," Working Papers 170, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Banerjee, A. & Marcellino, M. & Osbat, C., 2000. "Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data," Economics Working Papers eco2000/20, European University Institute.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2005. "Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis," NBER Working Papers 11467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-263, July.
- Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrews, Donald W K, 1991.
"Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
- Donald W.K. Andrews, 1988. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 877, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Donald W.K. Andrews, 1988. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 877R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 1989.
- Gao, Zhaoxing & Ma, Yingying & Wang, Hansheng & Yao, Qiwei, 2019. "Banded spatio-temporal autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 211-230.
- Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2015.
"Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1-2), pages 32-55, February.
- Nelson Mark, 2008. "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," Working Papers 012, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2012.
- Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2012. "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 18382, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jinyuan Chang & Qiwei Yao & Wen Zhou, 2017. "Testing for high-dimensional white noise using maximum cross-correlations," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 104(1), pages 111-127.
- Saikkonen, Pentti & Lutkepohl, Helmut, 2000.
"Testing for the Cointegrating Rank of a VAR Process with Structural Shifts,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(4), pages 451-464, October.
- Saikkonen, Pentti & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2001. "Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with structural shifts," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,82, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
- Pan, Jiazhu & Yao, Qiwei, 2008. "Modelling multiple time series via common factors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 22876, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Zhaoxing Gao & Ruey S. Tsay, 2019. "A Structural‐Factor Approach to Modeling High‐Dimensional Time Series and Space‐Time Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 343-362, May.
- Chang, Jinyuan & Yao, Qiwei & Zhou, Wen, 2017. "Testing for high-dimensional white noise using maximum cross-correlations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68531, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Zhang, Rongmao & Robinson, Peter & Yao, Qiwei, 2019. "Identifying cointegration by eigenanalysis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87431, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015.
"Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
- Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-276, March.
- Jiazhu Pan & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Modelling multiple time series via common factors," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(2), pages 365-379.
- Lutkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2000.
"Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with a time trend,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 177-198, March.
- Lütkepohl, H. & Saikkonen, P., 1997. "Testing for the Cointegrating Rank of a VAR Process with a Time Trend," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,79, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
- Soren Johansen, 2002. "A Small Sample Correction for the Test of Cointegrating Rank in the Vector Autoregressive Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1929-1961, September.
- Bai, Jushan, 2004. "Estimating cross-section common stochastic trends in nonstationary panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 137-183, September.
- Phillips, P. C. B. & Ouliaris, S., 1988. "Testing for cointegration using principal components methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 205-230.
- Tsay, Ruey S., 2020. "Testing serial correlations in high-dimensional time series via extreme value theory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 106-117.
- Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
- Song, Song & Bickel, Peter J., 2011.
"Large vector auto regressions,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2011-048, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Song Song & Peter J. Bickel, 2011. "Large Vector Auto Regressions," Papers 1106.3915, arXiv.org.
- Aznar, Antonio & Salvador, Manuel, 2002. "Selecting The Rank Of The Cointegration Space And The Form Of The Intercept Using An Information Criterion," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 926-947, August.
- Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
- Lam, Clifford & Yao, Qiwei, 2012. "Factor modeling for high-dimensional time series: inference for the number of factors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 45684, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Stock J.H. & Watson M.W., 2002. "Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 1167-1179, December.
- Rongmao Zhang & Peter Robinson & Qiwei Yao, 2019. "Identifying Cointegration by Eigenanalysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 916-927, April.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Puyi Fang & Zhaoxing Gao & Ruey S. Tsay, 2023. "Determination of the effective cointegration rank in high-dimensional time-series predictive regressions," Papers 2304.12134, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Fang, Puyi & Gao, Zhaoxing & Tsay, Ruey S., 2023. "Supervised kernel principal component analysis for forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Gao, Zhaoxing & Tsay, Ruey S., 2023. "A Two-Way Transformed Factor Model for Matrix-Variate Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 83-101.
- Escribano, Alvaro & Peña, Daniel & Ruiz, Esther, 2021. "30 years of cointegration and dynamic factor models forecasting and its future with big data: Editorial," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1333-1337.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Zhaoxing Gao & Ruey S. Tsay, 2020. "Modeling High-Dimensional Unit-Root Time Series," Papers 2005.03496, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Zhaoxing Gao & Ruey S. Tsay, 2020. "A Two-Way Transformed Factor Model for Matrix-Variate Time Series," Papers 2011.09029, arXiv.org.
- Gao, Zhaoxing & Tsay, Ruey S., 2023. "A Two-Way Transformed Factor Model for Matrix-Variate Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 83-101.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2014.
"Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 589-612.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6707, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/15, European University Institute.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2010. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7677, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Igor Masten & Massimiliano Marcellino & Anindya Banerjeey, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," RSCAS Working Papers 2009/32, European University Institute.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models," Discussion Papers 09-06r, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Working Papers 335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Francisco Corona & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2020.
"Estimating Non-stationary Common Factors: Implications for Risk Sharing,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 37-60, January.
- Corona, Francisco & Poncela, Pilar, 2017. "Estimating non-stationary common factors : Implications for risk sharing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 24585, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar, 2020. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Lippi & Matteo Luciani, 2014.
"Dynamic Factor Models, Cointegration and Error Correction Mechanisms,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2014-14, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Lippi & Matteo Luciani, 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Cointegration, and Error Correction Mechanisms," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-018, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Francisco Corona & Pedro Orraca, 2019.
"Remittances in Mexico and their unobserved components,"
The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1047-1066, November.
- Corona, Francisco & Orraca, Pedro, 2016. "Remittances in Mexico and their unobserved components," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 22674, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Zhaoxing Gao & Ruey S. Tsay, 2021. "Divide-and-Conquer: A Distributed Hierarchical Factor Approach to Modeling Large-Scale Time Series Data," Papers 2103.14626, arXiv.org.
- Zhang, Rongmao & Robinson, Peter & Yao, Qiwei, 2019. "Identifying cointegration by eigenanalysis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87431, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2014.
"Using large data sets to forecast sectoral employment,"
Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(2), pages 229-264, June.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working Papers 201101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working papers 2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment," Working Papers 1106, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021.
"A comparison of semiparametric tests for fractional cointegration,"
Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1997-2030, August.
- Leschinski, Christian & Voges, Michelle & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2019. "A Comparison of Semiparametric Tests for Fractional Cointegration," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-651, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Lippi & Matteo Luciani, 2016. "Non-Stationary Dynamic Factor Models for Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-024, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fayed Alshammri & Jiazhu Pan, 2021. "Moving dynamic principal component analysis for non-stationary multivariate time series," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 2247-2287, September.
- Chang, Jinyuan & Guo, Bin & Yao, Qiwei, 2015. "High dimensional stochastic regression with latent factors, endogeneity and nonlinearity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 61886, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2014.
"Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 589-612.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6707, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2010. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7677, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models," Discussion Papers 09-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Working Papers 335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Igor Masten & Massimiliano Marcellino & Anindya Banerjeey, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," RSCAS Working Papers 2009/32, European University Institute.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2010. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction," Discussion Papers 09-06r, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/15, European University Institute.
- Eiji Kurozumi & Yoichi Arai, 2007.
"Efficient estimation and inference in cointegrating regressions with structural change,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 545-575, July.
- Kurozumi, Eiji & 黒住, 英司 & Arai, Yoichi & 荒井, 洋一, 2005. "Efficient Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Regressions with Structural Change," Discussion Papers 2004-09, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Kosei Fukuda, 2011. "Cointegration rank switching model: an application to forecasting interest rates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(5), pages 509-522, August.
- Francisco Corona & Graciela González-Farías & Pedro Orraca, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-35, December.
- Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ventosa-Santaulària, Daniel, 2017. "Energy-growth long-term relationship under structural breaks. Evidence from Canada, 17 Latin American economies and the USA," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 121-134.
More about this item
Keywords
Common factor; Cointegration; Eigenanalysis; Factor model; High-dimensional time series; Unit root;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:4:p:1535-1555. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.