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The truth behind the myth of the Folk theorem

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  • Halpern, Joseph Y.
  • Pass, Rafael
  • Seeman, Lior

Abstract

We study the problem of computing an ϵ-Nash equilibrium in repeated games. Earlier work by Borgs et al. (2010) suggests that this problem is intractable. We show that if we make a slight change to their model—modeling the players as polynomial-time Turing machines that maintain state—and make a standard cryptographic assumption (that public-key cryptography can carried out), the problem can actually be solved in polynomial time. Our algorithm works not only for games with a finite number of players, but also for constant-degree graphical games (where, roughly speaking, which players' actions a given player's utility depends on are characterized by a graph, typically of bounded degree). As Nash equilibrium is a weak solution concept for extensive-form games, we additionally define and study an appropriate notion of subgame-perfect equilibrium for computationally bounded players, and show how to efficiently find such an equilibrium in repeated games (again, assuming public-key cryptography).

Suggested Citation

  • Halpern, Joseph Y. & Pass, Rafael & Seeman, Lior, 2019. "The truth behind the myth of the Folk theorem," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 479-498.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:gamebe:v:117:y:2019:i:c:p:479-498
    DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2019.04.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Borgs, Christian & Chayes, Jennifer & Immorlica, Nicole & Kalai, Adam Tauman & Mirrokni, Vahab & Papadimitriou, Christos, 2010. "The myth of the Folk Theorem," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 34-43, September.
    2. Kreps, David M & Wilson, Robert, 1982. "Sequential Equilibria," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 863-894, July.
    3. Urbano, A. & Vila, J. E., 2004. "Unmediated communication in repeated games with imperfect monitoring," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 143-173, January.
    4. O. Gossner, 2000. "Sharing a long secret in a few public words," THEMA Working Papers 2000-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    5. Amparo Urbano & Jose E. Vila, 2002. "Computational Complexity and Communication: Coordination in Two-Player Games," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1893-1927, September.
    6. Bavly, Gilad & Peretz, Ron, 2019. "Limits of correlation in repeated games with bounded memory," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 131-145.
    7. Bavly, Gilad & Neyman, Abraham, 2014. "Online concealed correlation and bounded rationality," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 71-89.
    8. GOSSNER, Olivier, 1998. "Repeated games played by cryptographically sophisticated players," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1998035, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. Tim Roughgarden, 2010. "Computing equilibria: a computational complexity perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 42(1), pages 193-236, January.
    10. Martin J. Osborne & Ariel Rubinstein, 1994. "A Course in Game Theory," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262650401, April.
    11. Drew Fudenberg & Eric Maskin, 2008. "The Folk Theorem In Repeated Games With Discounting Or With Incomplete Information," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Drew Fudenberg & David K Levine (ed.), A Long-Run Collaboration On Long-Run Games, chapter 11, pages 209-230, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Lehrer, Ehud, 1991. "Internal Correlation in Repeated Games," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 19(4), pages 431-456.
    13. Ron Peretz, 2013. "Correlation through bounded recall strategies," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 42(4), pages 867-890, November.
    14. Rubinstein, Ariel, 1979. "Equilibrium in supergames with the overtaking criterion," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-9, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jakub Dargaj & Jakob Grue Simonsen, 2020. "A Complete Characterization of Infinitely Repeated Two-Player Games having Computable Strategies with no Computable Best Response under Limit-of-Means Payoff," Papers 2005.13921, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    2. Dargaj, Jakub & Simonsen, Jakob Grue, 2023. "A complete characterization of infinitely repeated two-player games having computable strategies with no computable best response under limit-of-means payoff," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equilibrium Computation; Folk theorem; Repeated games; Bounded rationality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines

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