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The effect of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in Türkiye

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  • Oefele, Nico
  • Baur, Dirk G.
  • Smales, Lee A.

Abstract

This study is the first to systematically examine the impact of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in an emerging market, using Turkish lira-denominated crypto trading volume as a proxy. Our findings highlight the dominance of a single exchange and the sustained growth of stablecoin trading. Daily trading volume is largely driven by global crypto market capitalization. However, we find no systematic link between trading volume and significant lira depreciations, inflation shocks, or policy rate changes. Contrary to policymakers' concerns about domestic currency substitution with crypto assets, our results suggest only weak, short-lived evidence related to currency risk in Türkiye.

Suggested Citation

  • Oefele, Nico & Baur, Dirk G. & Smales, Lee A., 2025. "The effect of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in Türkiye," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:65:y:2025:i:c:s1566014125000135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101264
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crypto asset; Cryptoization; Currency substitution; Dollarization; Emerging market; Financial stability; Stablecoin;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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