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A Rostovian model of endogenous growth and underdevelopment traps

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  • Zilibotti, Fabrizio

Abstract

The paper presents a model which combines self-sustained growth and 'underdevelopment traps' into a common analytical framework. The objective is to given an analytical interpretations to Rostow's observation that there is a 'decisive interval in the history of a society when growth becomes its normal condition' and to the empirical evidence that some countries seem not to have achieved this stage yet. The model exhibits aggregate non-convexities and thresholds which separate a region where growth is 'Solow-type', with convergence to a stationary steady-state from region where growth is 'Romer-type' , with endogenous self-sustained growth. In some critical stages of development multiple equilibrium trajectory may exist, consistent with alternative sets of self-fulfilling beliefs.
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  • Zilibotti, Fabrizio, 1995. "A Rostovian model of endogenous growth and underdevelopment traps," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(8), pages 1569-1602, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:39:y:1995:i:8:p:1569-1602
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    1. Azariadis, Costas & Stachurski, John, 2005. "Poverty Traps," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, Elsevier.
    2. Richard E. Baldwin & Philippe Martin & Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano, 2021. "Global Income Divergence, Trade, and Industrialization: The Geography of Growth Take-Offs," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Firms and Workers in a Globalized World Larger Markets, Tougher Competition, chapter 2, pages 25-57, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James Robinson, 2005. "The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(3), pages 546-579, June.
    4. Kejak, Michal, 2003. "Stages of growth in economic development," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 771-800, March.
    5. Ben Fine, 1998. "Endogenous Growth Theory: A Critical Assessment," Working Papers 80, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    6. Gancia, Gino & Zilibotti, Fabrizio, 2005. "Horizontal Innovation in the Theory of Growth and Development," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 111-170, Elsevier.
    7. Benhabib, Jess & Gali, Jordi, 1995. "On growth and indeterminacy: some theory and evidence," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 163-211, December.
    8. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá, 2000. "Technological differences and convergence in the OECD," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 11-27.
    9. Chu, Angus C. & Kou, Zonglai & Wang, Xilin, 2022. "Culture and stages of economic development," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    10. Funk, Peter, 1998. "Satiation and underdevelopment," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 319-341.
    11. Shiro Kuwahara, 2013. "Dynamical analysis of the R&D-based growth model with a regime switch," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 108(1), pages 35-57, January.
    12. Shin-ichi Fukuda, 2008. "Knightian Uncertainty and Poverty Trap in a Model of Economic Growth," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(3), pages 652-663, July.
    13. Michal Kejak, 2007. "Growth, Inflation, and Banking: The Role of Human Capital," CERGE-EI Books, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, edition 1, number b01, May.
    14. Gali, Jordi, 1995. "Product diversity, endogenous markups, and development traps," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 39-63, August.
    15. Douhan, Robin & Nordberg, Anders, 2007. "Is the elephant stepping on its trunk? The problem of India´s unbalanced growth," Working Paper Series 2007:16, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    16. Bucciarelli Edgardo & Pagliari Carmen & Muratore Fabrizio, 2010. "European Labour Productivity And Corporate E-Learning Activities: An Empirical Analysis," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 170-177, July.
    17. Vellutini, Charles, 2003. "Capital mobility and underdevelopment traps," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 435-462, August.
    18. Michal Kejak & David Vavra, 2004. "Factor Accumulation Story: Any Unfinished Business?," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp220, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    19. Kuwahara, Shiro, 2019. "Multiplicity and stagnation under the Romer model with increasing returns of R&D," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 86-97.
    20. Fiaschi, Davide & Lavezzi, Andrea Mario, 2007. "Nonlinear economic growth: Some theory and cross-country evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 271-290, September.
    21. Kejak, Michal & Seiter, Stephan & Vavra, David, 2004. "Accession trajectories and convergence: endogenous growth perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 13-46, March.

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