IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v154y2010i1p59-73.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Adaptive estimation of the dynamics of a discrete time stochastic volatility model

Author

Listed:
  • Comte, F.
  • Lacour, C.
  • Rozenholc, Y.

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the discrete time stochastic volatility model Yi=exp(Xi/2)[eta]i, Xi+1=b(Xi)+[sigma](Xi)[xi]i+1, where only (Yi) is observed. The model is rewritten as a particular hidden model: Zi=Xi+[epsilon]i, Xi+1=b(Xi)+[sigma](Xi)[xi]i+1, where ([xi]i) and ([epsilon]i) are independent sequences of i.i.d. noise. Moreover, the sequences (Xi) and ([epsilon]i) are independent and the distribution of [epsilon] is known. Then, our aim is to estimate the functions b and [sigma]2 when only observations Z1,...,Zn are available. We propose to estimate bf and (b2+[sigma]2)f and study the integrated mean square error of projection estimators of these functions on automatically selected projection spaces. By ratio strategy, estimators of b and [sigma]2 are then deduced. The mean square risk of the resulting estimators are studied and their rates are discussed. Lastly, simulation experiments are provided: constants in the penalty functions defining the estimators are calibrated and the quality of the estimators is checked on several examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Comte, F. & Lacour, C. & Rozenholc, Y., 2010. "Adaptive estimation of the dynamics of a discrete time stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 59-73, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:154:y:2010:i:1:p:59-73
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304-4076(09)00150-X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Lars Peter & Scheinkman, Jose Alexandre, 1995. "Back to the Future: Generating Moment Implications for Continuous-Time Markov Processes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 63(4), pages 767-804, July.
    2. Hong, Han & Tamer, Elie, 2003. "A simple estimator for nonlinear error in variable models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 1-19, November.
    3. Neil Shephard, 2005. "Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2005-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    4. Lacour, Claire, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation of the stationary density and the transition density of a Markov chain," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 232-260, February.
    5. Hansen, Lars Peter & Alexandre Scheinkman, Jose & Touzi, Nizar, 1998. "Spectral methods for identifying scalar diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 1-32, June.
    6. Ioannides, D. A. & Alevizos, P. D., 1997. "Nonparametric regression with errors in variables and applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 35-43, February.
    7. Comte, F. & Rozenholc, Y., 2002. "Adaptive estimation of mean and volatility functions in (auto-)regressive models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 111-145, January.
    8. Fan, Jianqing & Masry, Elias, 1992. "Multivariate regression estimation with errors-in-variables: Asymptotic normality for mixing processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 237-271, November.
    9. Koo, Ja-Yong & Lee, Kee-Won, 1998. "B-spline estimation of regression functions with errors in variable," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 57-66, September.
    10. Arnaud Gloter, 2007. "Efficient estimation of drift parameters in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 495-519, October.
    11. Susanne M Schennach, 2007. "Instrumental Variable Estimation of Nonlinear Errors-in-Variables Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(1), pages 201-239, January.
    12. Reno, Roberto, 2006. "Nonparametric estimation of stochastic volatility models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 390-395, March.
    13. Shephard, Neil (ed.), 2005. "Stochastic Volatility: Selected Readings," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199257201, Decembrie.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Salima El Kolei, 2013. "Parametric estimation of hidden stochastic model by contrast minimization and deconvolution," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 76(8), pages 1031-1081, November.
    2. El Kolei, Salima & Pelgrin, Florian, 2017. "Parametric inference of autoregressive heteroscedastic models with errors in variables," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 63-70.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nour Meddahi, 2002. "A theoretical comparison between integrated and realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 479-508.
    2. Bu, Ruijun & Kim, Jihyun & Wang, Bin, 2023. "Uniform and Lp convergences for nonparametric continuous time regressions with semiparametric applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1934-1954.
    3. Nour Meddahi, 2003. "ARMA representation of integrated and realized variances," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(2), pages 335-356, December.
    4. Delaigle, Aurore & Fan, Jianqing & Carroll, Raymond J., 2009. "A Design-Adaptive Local Polynomial Estimator for the Errors-in-Variables Problem," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 348-359.
    5. A. S. Hurn & J. I. Jeisman & K. A. Lindsay, 0. "Seeing the Wood for the Trees: A Critical Evaluation of Methods to Estimate the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(3), pages 390-455.
    6. Mengheng Li & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman, 2018. "Unobserved Components with Stochastic Volatility in U.S. Inflation: Estimation and Signal Extraction," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-027/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    7. Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Multipower Variation and Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2004-W30, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    8. Federico M. Bandi & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Nonparametric Stochastic Volatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-035, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    9. Chang, Lo-Bin & Geman, Stuart, 2013. "Empirical scaling laws and the aggregation of non-stationary data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(20), pages 5046-5052.
    10. Ilze Kalnina & Dacheng Xiu, 2017. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Leverage Effect: A Trade-Off Between Robustness and Efficiency," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(517), pages 384-396, January.
    11. Xiaohong Chen & Lars Peter Hansen & Jos´e A. Scheinkman, 2005. "Principal Components and the Long Run," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000997, UCLA Department of Economics.
    12. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger & Shephard, Neil, 2011. "Subsampling realised kernels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 204-219, January.
    13. Meddahi, Nour & Renault, Eric, 2004. "Temporal aggregation of volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 355-379, April.
    14. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2004. "Analytical Evaluation Of Volatility Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1079-1110, November.
    15. Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Estimating and Forecasting Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, December.
    16. Chen, Xiaohong & Hansen, Lars Peter & Carrasco, Marine, 2010. "Nonlinearity and temporal dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 155-169, April.
    17. Hao Dong & Taisuke Otsu & Luke Taylor, 2022. "Nonparametric estimation of additive models with errors-in-variables," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(10), pages 1164-1204, November.
    18. Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson & Walter Distaso, 2006. "Predictive Inference for Integrated Volatility," Departmental Working Papers 200616, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    19. Song, Suyong, 2015. "Semiparametric estimation of models with conditional moment restrictions in the presence of nonclassical measurement errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 95-109.
    20. Yu, Jun & Yang, Zhenlin & Zhang, Xibin, 2006. "A class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models and its implications for pricing currency options," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2218-2231, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:154:y:2010:i:1:p:59-73. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.