IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2023-04-46.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How do Climate and Macroeconomic Factors Affect the Profitability of the Energy Sector?

Author

Listed:
  • Orlando Joaqui-Barandica

    (Faculty of Engineering, School of Industrial Engineering, Universidad del Valle, Colombia.)

  • Diego F. Manotas-Duque

    (Faculty of Engineering, School of Industrial Engineering, Universidad del Valle, Colombia.)

Abstract

This research identifies the significant relationships between climate and macroeconomic variables with the financial profitability (ROA) of energy sector companies in Germany, Norway, France and Spain. We work under the hypothesis of the existence of non-linear relationships for which we fit a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) for each country. We find that macroeconomic variables are often considered more important for modeling profitability than climate variables. This is because general economic conditions, such as interest rates and commodity prices, can have a broader and deeper impact on a firm's financial performance than local climate variations. However, climatic conditions are relevant if the specific industry consists of renewable energy companies. The results of this study can be very useful for financial analysts and investors, as they can adjust their business strategies to improve their financial performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Orlando Joaqui-Barandica & Diego F. Manotas-Duque, 2023. "How do Climate and Macroeconomic Factors Affect the Profitability of the Energy Sector?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 444-454, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-04-46
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/14303/7413
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/14303
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gupta, Kartick, 2017. "Do economic and societal factors influence the financial performance of alternative energy firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 172-182.
    2. Umut Ugurlu & Oktay Tas & Aycan Kaya & Ilkay Oksuz, 2018. "The Financial Effect of the Electricity Price Forecasts’ Inaccuracy on a Hydro-Based Generation Company," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-19, August.
    3. Shah, Imran Hussain & Hiles, Charlie & Morley, Bruce, 2018. "How do oil prices, macroeconomic factors and policies affect the market for renewable energy?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 87-97.
    4. Fang Yao & Hans-Georg Müller & Andrew J. Clifford & Steven R. Dueker & Jennifer Follett & Yumei Lin & Bruce A. Buchholz & John S. Vogel, 2003. "Shrinkage Estimation for Functional Principal Component Scores with Application to the Population Kinetics of Plasma Folate," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 676-685, September.
    5. Jaraitė, Jūratė & Di Maria, Corrado, 2012. "Efficiency, productivity and environmental policy: A case study of power generation in the EU," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1557-1568.
    6. Asafu-Adjaye, John, 2000. "The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 615-625, December.
    7. Troster, Victor & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Renewable energy, oil prices, and economic activity: A Granger-causality in quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 440-452.
    8. Jawad M Addoum & David T Ng & Ariel Ortiz-Bobea & Harrison Hong, 2020. "Temperature Shocks and Establishment Sales," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1331-1366.
    9. Komain Jiranyakul, 2016. "Causal linkages between electricity consumption and GDP in Thailand: evidence from the bounds test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 921-930.
    10. Dowling, Paul, 2013. "The impact of climate change on the European energy system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 406-417.
    11. Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Roson, Roberto, 2010. "Climate-change feedback on economic growth: explorations with a dynamic general equilibrium model," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(5), pages 515-533, October.
    12. Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022. "Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    13. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2012. "Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 66-95, July.
    14. Gupta, Kartick & Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, 2018. "Do macroeconomic conditions and oil prices influence corporate risk-taking?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 65-86.
    15. Panagiotis Tzouvanas & Renatas Kizys & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Roza Sagitova, 2019. "Can Variations in Temperature Explain the Systemic Risk of European Firms?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(4), pages 1723-1759, December.
    16. Chen, Xia & Fu, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "What are the shocks of climate change on clean energy investment: A diversified exploration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    17. Auffhammer, Maximilian & Mansur, Erin T., 2014. "Measuring climatic impacts on energy consumption: A review of the empirical literature," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 522-530.
    18. Yao, Fang & Muller, Hans-Georg & Wang, Jane-Ling, 2005. "Functional Data Analysis for Sparse Longitudinal Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 577-590, June.
    19. Mosquera-López, Stephanía & Uribe, Jorge M. & Manotas-Duque, Diego Fernando, 2017. "Nonlinear empirical pricing in electricity markets using fundamental weather factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 594-605.
    20. R. A. Rigby & D. M. Stasinopoulos, 2005. "Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(3), pages 507-554, June.
    21. Anton, Sorin Gabriel, 2021. "The impact of temperature increase on firm profitability. Empirical evidence from the European energy and gas sectors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    22. Monika Wieczorek-Kosmala, 2020. "Weather Risk Management in Energy Sector: The Polish Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-21, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anton, Sorin Gabriel, 2021. "The impact of temperature increase on firm profitability. Empirical evidence from the European energy and gas sectors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    2. Sam Fankhauser, 2017. "Adaptation to Climate Change," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 9(1), pages 209-230, October.
    3. Ciscar, Juan-Carlos & Dowling, Paul, 2014. "Integrated assessment of climate impacts and adaptation in the energy sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 531-538.
    4. Venturini, Alessio, 2022. "Climate change, risk factors and stock returns: A review of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
    6. Şentürk, Damla & Ghosh, Samiran & Nguyen, Danh V., 2014. "Exploratory time varying lagged regression: Modeling association of cognitive and functional trajectories with expected clinic visits in older adults," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1-15.
    7. Kalkuhl, Matthias & Wenz, Leonie, 2020. "The impact of climate conditions on economic production. Evidence from a global panel of regions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. Li, Pai-Ling & Chiou, Jeng-Min, 2011. "Identifying cluster number for subspace projected functional data clustering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 2090-2103, June.
    9. François Cohen & Matthieu Glachant & Magnus Söderberg, 2017. "The cost of adapting to climate change: evidence from the US residential sector," Working Papers hal-01695171, HAL.
    10. Roson, Roberto & Damania, Richard, 2016. "Simulating the Macroeconomic Impact of Future Water Scarcity an Assessment of Alternative Scenarios," Conference papers 332687, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Franziska Piontek & Matthias Kalkuhl & Elmar Kriegler & Anselm Schultes & Marian Leimbach & Ottmar Edenhofer & Nico Bauer, 2019. "Economic Growth Effects of Alternative Climate Change Impact Channels in Economic Modeling," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(4), pages 1357-1385, August.
    12. Cascarano, Michele & Natoli, Filippo & Petrella, Andrea, 2022. "Entry, exit and market structure in a changing climate," MPRA Paper 112868, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Claudia Custodio & Miguel A. Ferreira & Emilia Garcia-Appendini & Adrian Lam, 2022. "Economic impact of climate change," Nova SBE Working Paper Series wp645, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics.
    14. Xiaoguang Chen & Madhu Khanna & Lu Yang, 2022. "The impacts of temperature on Chinese food processing firms," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(2), pages 256-279, April.
    15. Jacopo Ponticelli & Qiping Xu & Stefan Zeume, 2023. "Temperature and Local Industry Concentration," Working Papers 23-51, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    16. Aguilar-Gomez, Sandra & Gutierrez, Emilio & Heres, David & Jaume, David & Tobal, Martin, 2024. "Thermal stress and financial distress: Extreme temperatures and firms’ loan defaults in Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    17. Tol, Richard S.J., 2024. "A meta-analysis of the total economic impact of climate change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    18. Preety Srivastava & Trong-Anh Trinh & Xiaohui Zhang, 2022. "Weather effects on academic performance: An analysis using administrative data," Discussion Papers 2207, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
    19. Jean-pascal Bassino & Celine Gimet & Stephane Quefelec, 2018. "Climate and output variability in the Euro-Mediterranean region, 1950-2000," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 1811-1822.
    20. Tomáš Rubín & Victor M. Panaretos, 2020. "Functional lagged regression with sparse noisy observations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(6), pages 858-882, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset-liability Management; Generalized Additive Model; Macroeconomics; Renewable Energy; Weather Conditions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-04-46. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.