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Does liquidity in the FX market depend on volatility?

Author

Listed:
  • Frank Westerhoff

    (University of Osnabrueck, Department of Economics)

  • Sebastiano Manzan

    (University of Amsterdam, CeNDEF, Department of Quantitative Economics)

Abstract

We re-examine the relationship between exchange rates and order flow as proposed by Evans and Lyons (2002). Compared to their linear specification, we find that the response of exchange rates to order flow may depend on market historical volatility. If market historical volatility is high, a given order seems to have a lower price impact than in calmer periods. Overall, our simple threshold mechanism has the power to produce higher correlation coefficients.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Westerhoff & Sebastiano Manzan, 2004. "Does liquidity in the FX market depend on volatility?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(10), pages 1-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-04f30001
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2004/Volume6/EB-04F30001A.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin D.D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2017. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Studies in Foreign Exchange Economics, chapter 6, pages 247-290, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Chinn, Menzie David & Garcia Pascual, Antonio, 2003. "Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt12z9x4c5, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    3. Martin D. D. Evans, 2002. "FX Trading and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(6), pages 2405-2447, December.
    4. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Chinn, Menzie D. & Pascual, Antonio Garcia, 2005. "Empirical exchange rate models of the nineties: Are any fit to survive?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(7), pages 1150-1175, November.
    5. Martin D. D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2017. "How is Macro News Transmitted to Exchange Rates?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Studies in Foreign Exchange Economics, chapter 14, pages 547-596, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1983. "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1-2), pages 3-24, February.
    7. Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 1992. "Time and the Process of Security Price Adjustment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 576-605, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Borgy, V. & Idier, J. & Le Fol, G., 2010. "Liquidity problems in the FX liquid market: Ask for the "BIL"," Working papers 279, Banque de France.
    2. Gardini, Laura & Radi, Davide & Schmitt, Noemi & Sushko, Iryna & Westerhoff, Frank, 2023. "Sentiment-driven business cycle dynamics: An elementary macroeconomic model with animal spirits," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 342-359.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate dynamics;

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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