IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cuf/journl/y2018v19i1kivietchen.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Critical Appraisal of Studies Analyzing Co-movement of International Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Jan F. Kiviet

    (Amsterdam School of Economics University of Amsterdam)

  • Zhenxi Chen

    (School of Economics and Commerce; Research Center of Financial Engineering, South China University of Technology)

Abstract

Literature is reviewed on the analysis of co-movement between the price indices of stocks or their realized returns at various markets. Four major categories of frequently recurring methodological shortcomings are registered. These are: (i) omitted regressor problems, (ii) neglecting to verify agreement of estimation outcomes with adopted model assumptions, (iii) employing particular statistical tests in inappropriate situations and, occasionally, (iv) lack of identification. The devastating effects of the detected methodological defects are explained in mildly technical appendices and are also illustrated by simulations and empirical examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan F. Kiviet & Zhenxi Chen, 2018. "A Critical Appraisal of Studies Analyzing Co-movement of International Stock Markets," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(1), pages 151-196, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2018:v:19:i:1:kiviet:chen
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://down.aefweb.net/AefArticles/aef190106KivietChen.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:lan:wpaper:2594 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Zhenxi Chen & Jan F. Kiviet & Weihong Huang, 2015. "On the integration of China's main stock exchange with the international financial market," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1505, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    3. Dror Y Kenett & Matthias Raddant & Thomas Lux & Eshel Ben-Jacob, 2012. "Evolvement of Uniformity and Volatility in the Stressed Global Financial Village," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-8, February.
    4. Groenwold, Nicolaas & Tang, Sam Hak Kan & Wu, Yanrui, 2004. "The dynamic interrelationships between the greater China share markets," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 45-62, January.
    5. Li, Hong, 2012. "The impact of China's stock market reforms on its international stock market linkages," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 358-368.
    6. Zhang, Bing & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2014. "Has there been any change in the comovement between the Chinese and US stock markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 525-536.
    7. Jian Yang & Cheng Hsiao & Qi Li & Zijun Wang, 2006. "The emerging market crisis and stock market linkages: further evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 727-744, September.
    8. Aityan, Sergey K. & Ivanov-Schitz, Alexey K. & Izotov, Sergey S., 2010. "Time-shift asymmetric correlation analysis of global stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 590-605, December.
    9. Arshanapalli, Bala & Doukas, John & Lang, Larry H. P., 1995. "Pre and post-October 1987 stock market linkages between U.S. and Asian markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 57-73, May.
    10. Chow, Gregory C. & Liu, Changjiang & Niu, Linlin, 2011. "Co-movements of Shanghai and New York stock prices by time-varying regressions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 577-583.
    11. Chung, Pin J. & Liu, Donald J., 1994. "Common stochastic trends in pacific rim stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 241-259.
    12. David Edgerton & Ghazi Shukur, 1999. "Testing autocorrelation in a system perspective testing autocorrelation," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 343-386.
    13. Beirne, John & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Schulze-Ghattas, Marianne & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2010. "Global and regional spillovers in emerging stock markets: A multivariate GARCH-in-mean analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 250-260, September.
    14. Huyghebaert, Nancy & Wang, Lihong, 2010. "The co-movement of stock markets in East Asia: Did the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis really strengthen stock market integration?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 98-112, March.
    15. Hongquan Zhu & Zudi Lu & Shouyang Wang & Abdol S. Soofi, 2004. "Causal Linkages Among Shanghai, Shenzhen, And Hong Kong Stock Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 135-149.
    16. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis & Nikitas Pittis, 2016. "Statistical Modeling Of Stock Returns: Explanatory Or Descriptive? A Historical Survey With Some Methodological Reflections," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 149-164, February.
    17. repec:lan:wpaper:2452 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. repec:lan:wpaper:2371 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2012. "Enter the dragon: Interactions between Chinese, US and Asia-Pacific equity markets, 1995–2010," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 521-541.
    20. Glick, Reuven & Hutchison, Michael, 2013. "China's financial linkages with Asia and the global financial crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 186-206.
    21. S Zhang & I Paya & D Peel, 2009. "Linkages between Shanghai and Hong Kong stock indices," Working Papers 599248, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    22. Hong Li, 2007. "International linkages of the Chinese stock exchanges: a multivariate GARCH analysis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 285-297.
    23. Singh, Priyanka & Kumar, Brajesh & Pandey, Ajay, 2010. "Price and volatility spillovers across North American, European and Asian stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 55-64, January.
    24. Wang, Lihong, 2014. "Who moves East Asian stock markets? The role of the 2007–2009 global financial crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 182-203.
    25. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_016 is not listed on IDEAS
    26. Jayasuriya, Shamila A., 2011. "Stock market correlations between China and its emerging market neighbors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 418-431.
    27. Gregory C. Chow & Caroline C. Lawler, 2003. "A Time Series Analysis of the Shanghai and New York Stock Price Indices," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 4(1), pages 17-35, May.
    28. Ghosh, Asim & Saidi, Reza & Johnson, Keith H, 1999. "Who Moves the Asia-Pacific Stock Markets--US or Japan? Empirical Evidence Based on the Theory of Cointegration," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 159-170, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kiviet Jan F., 2017. "Discriminating between (in)valid External Instruments and (in)valid Exclusion Restrictions," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, January.
    2. Jan F. Kiviet & Zhenxi Chen, 2016. "A critical appraisal of studies analyzing co-movement of international stock markets with a focus on East-Asian indices," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1606, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    3. Luke Lin & Wen-Yuan Lin, 2018. "Does the major market influence transfer? Alternative effect on Asian stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1169-1200, May.
    4. Jin, Xiaoye, 2015. "Volatility transmission and volatility impulse response functions among the Greater China stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 43-58.
    5. Chow, Gregory C. & Liu, Changjiang & Niu, Linlin, 2011. "Co-movements of Shanghai and New York stock prices by time-varying regressions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 577-583.
    6. Chow, Gregory C. & Liu, Changjiang & Niu, Linlin, 2011. "Co-movements of Shanghai and New York stock prices by time-varying regressions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 577-583.
    7. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_016 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:wyi:journl:002146 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Wu, Fei, 2020. "Stock market integration in East and Southeast Asia: The role of global factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Zhou, Xinmiao & Qian, Huanhuan & Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge. V. & González López-Valcárcel, Beatriz, 2020. "Risk dependence and cointegration between pharmaceutical stock markets: The case of China and the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    11. Zhenxi Chen & Jan F. Kiviet & Weihong Huang, 2015. "On the integration of China's main stock exchange with the international financial market," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1505, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    12. Xiaomeng Ma & Dong Zou & Chuanchao Huang & Shuliang Lv, 2020. "China’s growing influence and risk in Asia–Pacific stock markets: evidence from spillover effects and market integration," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(4), pages 338-361, December.
    13. Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Abid, Ilyes & Dagher, Leila, 2023. "Dynamic integration and transmission channels among interest rates and oil price shocks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 296-317.
    14. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Papadopoulos, Athanasios P., 2016. "Intra-national and international spillovers between the real economy and the stock market: The case of China," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PA), pages 78-92.
    15. Miklesh Prasad Yadav & Sudhi Sharma & Indira Bhardwaj, 2023. "Volatility Spillover Between Chinese Stock Market and Selected Emerging Economies: A Dynamic Conditional Correlation and Portfolio Optimization Perspective," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(2), pages 427-444, June.
    16. Zhenxi CHEN & Jan F. KIVIET & Weihong Huang, 2014. "Hong Kong: A Bridge Connecting Mainland China and the International Market," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1406, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    17. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mutascu, Mihai Ioan & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2016. "Continuous wavelet transform and rolling correlation of European stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 237-256.
    18. Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hu, Te-Chung & Hu, Hui-Ting, 2015. "Dynamic Asian stock market convergence: Evidence from dynamic cointegration analysis among China and ASEAN-5," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 84-98.
    19. Babecký, Jan & Komárek, Lubos & Komárková, Zlatuse, 2012. "Integration of Chinese and Russian stock markets with world markets : National and sectoral Perspectives," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2012, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    20. Babecký, Jan & Komárek, Lubos & Komárková, Zlatuse, 2012. "Integration of Chinese and Russian stock markets with world markets: National and sectoral Perspectives," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2012, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    21. Ijaz Younis & Cheng Longsheng & Muhammad Farhan Basheer & Ahmed Shafique Joyo, 2020. "Stock market comovements among Asian emerging economies: A wavelet-based approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-23, October.
    22. Johansson, Anders C. & Ljungwall, Christer, 2009. "Spillover Effects Among the Greater China Stock Markets," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 839-851, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    diagnostic tests; interlinkage of stock markets; maintained hypotheses; model specification; test methodology;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2018:v:19:i:1:kiviet:chen. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Qiang Gao (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emcufcn.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.