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Continuous wavelet transform and rolling correlation of European stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [UMR7322] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Mihai Ioan Mutascu

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [UMR7322] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to assess the level of co-movements, contagion and rolling correlation between the stock markets of the PIIGS and those of the UK and Germany. We thus resort to a novel time–frequency approach, namely the continuous wavelet transform, and we analyze the co-movements of the stock index returns at different frequency-scales. We also test the influence of different macroeconomic factors on stock markets co-movements at different time–frequencies. The wavelet analysis results show that, in the short-run, the correlation level is high only during financial distress episodes, while in the long-run, the co-movements are present for the entire analyzed horizon. In addition, at low-frequency levels, the PIIGS stock markets are more correlated with Germany than with the UK. An opposite result is obtained at high-frequency decomposition levels. We also discover that the stock markets' correlation does not increase after all crisis events and depends on the wavelet decomposition levels.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mihai Ioan Mutascu & Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, 2016. "Continuous wavelet transform and rolling correlation of European stock markets," Post-Print hal-03528475, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03528475
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.12.002
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    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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