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Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Die Beurteilung der Lagerbestände im Handelsgewerbe

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  • Stefan Sauer
  • Christian Seiler

Abstract

Zur Erhebung der Lagerentwicklung bittet das ifo Institut im Rahmen des ifo Konjunkturtests die Umfrageteilnehmer aus dem Handelsbereich jeden Monat darum, ihre Lagerbestände als »zu klein«, »befriedigend (saisonüblich)« oder »zu groß« einzustufen. Der vorliegende Artikel beschreibt die unterschiedlichen Bewertungsmuster in den einzelnen Handelssparten und analysiert den Zusammenhang der Lagerentwicklung mit dem aktuellen Geschäftsverlauf und anderen Variablen aus dem ifo Konjunkturtest. Insgesamt deuten die aktuellen Ergebnisse darauf hin, dass überhöhte Warenlager im ifo Konjunkturtest ein Indikator für zu schwache Nachfrage sind. Die Firmen sind gezwungen, korrigierende Maßnahmen zu ergreifen.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Sauer & Christian Seiler, 2014. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Die Beurteilung der Lagerbestände im Handelsgewerbe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(04), pages 41-44, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:67:y:2014:i:04:p:41-44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klaus Abberger & Manuel Birnbrich & Christian Seiler, 2009. "Der »Test des Tests« im Handel – eine Metaumfrage zum ifo Konjunkturtest," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 34-41, November.
    2. Stefan Sauer, 2013. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Sonderfrage zu Umsatzbehinderungen im Einzelhandel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(03), pages 44-45, February.
    3. Klaus Abberger & Stefan Sauer & Christian Seiler, 2011. "Der Test des Tests im ifo Konjunkturtest Handel," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 52.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe & Przemyslaw Wojciechowski & Przemyslaw Brandt, 2014. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Lagerbestand und Reichweite der Aufträge in der Industrie," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(21), pages 40-46, November.
    2. Evgenia Kudymowa & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Die Herstellung von Druckerzeugnissen; Vervielfältigung von bespielten Ton-, Bild- und Datenträgern," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(06), pages 31-35, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Handel; Lagermanagement; Konjunkturumfrage;

    JEL classification:

    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General

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