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Ifo World Economic Survey und die realwirtschaftliche Entwicklung in ausgewählten Ländern

Author

Listed:
  • Evgenia Kudymowa
  • Johanna Garnitz
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Der Ifo World Economic Survey (WES) ist eine internationale Konjunkturumfrage, die seit 1981 vom ifo Institut vierteljährlich erhoben wird. Der Beitrag untersucht die Aussagekraft der WES-Umfrageergebnisse in Bezug auf den Konjunkturzyklus ausgewählter Länder. Dabei wird das Wirtschaftsklima eines Landes den jeweiligen Jahreswachstumsraten des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts gegenübergestellt. Insgesamt zeigen die Ergebnisse, dass das WES-Wirtschaftsklima die tatsächliche Wirtschaftsentwicklung sehr gut abbildet und die Wendepunkte in der Konjunktur der Länder verlässlich bestimmt.

Suggested Citation

  • Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Ifo World Economic Survey und die realwirtschaftliche Entwicklung in ausgewählten Ländern," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(19), pages 23-30, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:19:p:23-30
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifosd_2013_19_3.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stangl, Anna, 2009. "Essays on the Measurement of Economic Expectations," Munich Dissertations in Economics 9823, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    2. Anna Stangl, 2007. "European Data Watch: Ifo World Economic Survey Micro Data," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 127(3), pages 487-496.
    3. JohannaGarnitz & GernotNerb & KlausWohlrabe & TimoWollmershäuser, 2013. "CESifo World Economic Survey August 2013," ifo World Economic Survey, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(03), pages 1-25, August.
    4. Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 2371, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Klaus Abberger & Maximilian Frey & Michaela Kesina & Anna Wolf, 2009. "Indikatoren für die globale Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(16), pages 32-41, August.
    6. repec:ces:ifowes:v:12:y:2013:i:3:p:1-25 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Gernot Nerb & Johanna Garnitz, 2013. "ifo Weltwirtschaftsklima trübt sich leicht ein - Ergebnisse des 121. World Economic Survey (WES) für das dritte Quartal 2013," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(16), pages 35-46, August.
    8. Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the Role of Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 1694, CESifo Group Munich.
    9. Anna Stangl, 2007. "World Economic Survey," Chapters, in: Georg Goldrian (ed.), Handbook of Survey-Based Business Cycle Analysis, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Anna Stangl, 2008. "Internet Business Tendency Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2007(3), pages 387-399.
    11. Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2005. "An Alternative to the Carlson-Parkin Method for the Quantification of Qualitative Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey," ifo Working Paper Series 9, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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    Cited by:

    1. Simon Litsche & Przemyslaw Wojciechowski & Przemyslaw Brandt, 2016. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Maschinenbau," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(05), pages 33-37, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Weltwirtschaft; Weltkonjunktur; Konjunkturumfrage; Geschäftsklima; Konjunkturindikator; Wirtschaftslage; Entwicklung;

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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