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Gibt es einen »New-Economy-Effekt« auf das amerikanische Produktionspotential?

  • Gebhard Flaig

Die hohen Wachstumsraten des amerikanischen BIP während der letzten Jahre haben die Frage aufgeworfen, ob sie »nur« einem starken konjunkturellen Boom zu verdanken sind oder ob nicht auch die langfristige Wachstumsrate des Produktionspotentials angestiegen ist. Zahlreiche Kommentatoren vertreten die These, dass »New Economy-Effekte« einen dauerhaften Wachstumsschub induziert haben. Eine mit Hilfe von ökonometrischen Zeitreihenmodellen durchgeführte Analyse der Wachstumsraten der amerikanischen Wirtschaft während der letzten fünf Jahrzehnte lässt aber vermuten, dass Amerika in den neunziger Jahren einen konjunkturellen Boom erlebt hat, der jetzt zu Ende geht.

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Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 54 (2001)
Issue (Month): 05 (October)
Pages: 16-21

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:05:p:16-21
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  1. Canova, Fabio, 1998. "Detrending and business cycle facts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 475-512, May.
  2. Gebhard Flaig, 2000. "Arbeitstageeffekt und Bruttoinlandsprodukt : eine empirische Analyse mit einem strukturellen Komponentenmodel," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(22-23), pages 12-17, 08.
  3. J. E. Stiglitz, 1999. "Introduction," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 28(3), pages 249-254, November.
  4. Ignazio Visco, 2001. "Challenges and Risks for the World Economy," CESifo Forum, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 2(1), pages 3-13, October.
  5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen: Ein Vergleich Deutschland - USA," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(03), pages 41-51, 03.
  6. Bernhard Felderer, 2001. "Warum unterscheiden sich die langfristigen Wachstums- und Produktivitätstrends Europas und der USA?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(01), pages 15-23, 03.
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