IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/ecorec/v75y1999i4p358-368.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Comparative Static Model of the Relationship between Immigration and the Short‐Run Job Prospects of Unemployed Residents

Author

Listed:
  • BRUCE CHAPMAN
  • DEBORAH COBB‐CLARK

Abstract

A novel theoretical approach is developed to illustrate the consequences of immigration for the probability that unemployed residents gain a job. Through the use of the vacancies to unemployment ratio it is shown that immigration in theory can either increase or decrease unemployed residents' employment probabilities, but that, contrary to populist rhetoric, an increase is more likely the more recessed is the labour market. With reference to feasible Australian values of the parameters of interest, it is demonstrated that in practically all circumstances immigration increases the overall employment prospects of unemployed residents. Even so, the analysis is very short run, and strong conclusions as to what might be happening over the longer term are not appropriate.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Chapman & Deborah Cobb‐Clark, 1999. "A Comparative Static Model of the Relationship between Immigration and the Short‐Run Job Prospects of Unemployed Residents," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(4), pages 358-368, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:75:y:1999:i:4:p:358-368
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1999.tb02572.x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1999.tb02572.x
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1999.tb02572.x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pope, David & Withers, Glenn, 1993. "Do Migrants Rob Jobs? Lessons of Australian History, 1861–1991," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 719-742, December.
    2. Marr, William L. & Siklos, Pierre L., 1994. "The link between immigration and unemployment in Canada," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-25, February.
    3. David S. Harrison, 1984. "The Impact of Immigration on a Depressed Labour Market: The South Australian Experience," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 60(1), pages 57-67, March.
    4. Jerome Fahrer & Andrew Pease, 1993. "The Unemployment/Vacancy Relationship in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9305, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    5. repec:bla:ecorec:v:60:y:1984:i:168:p:57-67 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jerome Fahrer & Andrew Pease, 1993. "The Unemployment‐Vacancy Relationship in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 26(4), pages 43-57, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kahanec, Martin, 2012. "Skilled Labor Flows: Lessons from the European Union," IZA Research Reports 49, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp781 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. ., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: a state of the art," Chapters, in: Peter Nijkamp & Jacques Poot & Mediha Sahin (ed.), Migration Impact Assessment, chapter 1, pages 3-62, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Timothy J. Hatton & Massimiliano Tani, 2005. "Immigration and Inter-Regional Mobility in the UK, 1982-2000," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(507), pages 342-358, November.
    5. Zimmermann, Klaus F. & Kahanec, Martin, 2008. "International Migration, Ethnicity and Economic Inequality," CEPR Discussion Papers 6797, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2008. "Migration in an Enlarged EU: A Challenging Solution?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 849, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Nijkamp, P. & Poot, H.J., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: A state of the art," Serie Research Memoranda 0009, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    8. Jaai Parasnis & Dietrich Fausten & Russell Smyth, 2006. "The Impact of Immigration on Native Workers in Australia," Monash Economics Working Papers archive-40, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    9. Fernando Rios-Avila & Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza, 2020. "The Effect of Immigration on Labor Market Transitions of Native-Born Unemployed in the United States," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 295-331, September.
    10. Zimmermann, Klaus F. & Kahanec, Martin, 2008. "Migration, the Quality of the Labour Force and Economic Inequality," CEPR Discussion Papers 6899, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Jaai Parasnis, 2010. "Estimating The Relationship Between Immigrant And Native Workers In Australia: A Production Theory Approach," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1), pages 73-85, March.
    12. Asadul Islam, 2007. "Immigration Unemployment Relationship: The Evidence From Canada," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(1), pages 52-66, March.
    13. Zimmermann, Klaus F. & Kahanec, Martin & Giulietti, Corrado & Guzi, Martin & Barrett, Alan & Maitre, Bertrand, 2012. "Study on Active Inclusion of Migrants," IZA Research Reports 43, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Rob Hodgson & Jacques Poot, 2011. "New Zealand Research on the Economic Impacts of Immigration 2005-2010: Synthesis and Research Agenda," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 1104, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anthony De Francesco, 1999. "The relationship between unemployment and vacancies in Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(5), pages 641-652.
    2. Robert Dixon & John Freebairn & Guay Lim, 2007. "Time-varying equilibrium rates of unemployment: an analysis with Australian data," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 10(4), pages 205-225.
    3. A. J. Hagger & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2003. "Time to Ditch the Natural Rate?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 79(246), pages 324-335, September.
    4. Herrera Gómez, Marcos, 2010. "Causalidad Espacial. Enfoque No Paramétrico [Spatial Causality. Non-Parametric Approach]," MPRA Paper 61326, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Philip M. Bodman, 1999. "Labour Market Inefficiency and Frictional Unemployment in Australia and its States: A Stochastic Frontier Approach," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(2), pages 138-148, June.
    6. Chletsos, Michael & Roupakias, Stelios, 2012. "Immigration, Unemployment and Growth: Empirical Evidence from Greece," MPRA Paper 39861, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nicolaas Groenewold, 2003. "Long-Run Shifts of the Beveridge Curve and the Frictional Unemployment Rate in Australia," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 6(1), pages 65-82, March.
    8. Asadul Islam, 2007. "Immigration Unemployment Relationship: The Evidence From Canada," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(1), pages 52-66, March.
    9. Jeff Borland, 1996. "Job Creation and Job Destruction in Manufacturing Industry in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 72(216), pages 46-62, March.
    10. A.J. Hagger & N. Groenewold, 2000. "Time to Ditch the Natural rate?," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 00-09, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    11. Alexandra M. Espinosa & Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza, 2021. "The Long-term Relationship Between International Labour Migration and Unemployment in Spain," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 145-166, March.
    12. John Piggott & Bruce Chapman, 1995. "Costing the Job Compact," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(4), pages 313-328, December.
    13. N. Groenewold & A.J. Hagger, 1998. "The Australian Natural Rate of Unemployment: Some estimates from a structural VAR," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 98-23, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    14. Rickard Sandell, 2008. "A Social Network Approach to Spanish Immigration: An Analysis of Immigration into Spain 1998-2006," Working Papers 2008-33, FEDEA.
    15. d’Albis, Hippolyte & Boubtane, Ekrame & Coulibaly, Dramane, 2019. "Immigration and public finances in OECD countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 116-151.
    16. Boubtane, Ekrame & Coulibaly, Dramane & Rault, Christophe, 2013. "Immigration, unemployment and GDP in the host country: Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis on OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 261-269.
    17. B. R. Parmenter & Matthew W. Peter, 1991. "A Reinterpretation of the CIE Projections of the Long‐Run Economic Effects of Immigration," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 67(4), pages 331-337, December.
    18. Paul W. Miller & Paul A. Volker, 1985. "Economic Progress in Australia: An Analysis of Occupational Mobility," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 61(1), pages 463-475, March.
    19. Ghosh, Sucharita & Enami, Ali, 2015. "Do refugee-immigrants affect international trade? Evidence from the world's largest refugee case," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 291-307.
    20. Hippolyte d'Albis & Ekrame Boubtane & Dramane Coulibaly, 2016. "Immigration Policy and Macroeconomic Performance in France," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 121-122, pages 279-308.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:75:y:1999:i:4:p:358-368. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/esausea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.