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Section 301 and politics: Analysis of tariff exclusions

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  • Nikita Lopatin
  • Beverly Mendoza
  • Joseph M. Westenberg

Abstract

The Trump administration imposed tariffs on Chinese imports starting in 2018. American firms that rely on Chinese imports were allowed to apply for exclusions for products. In this paper, we investigate political factors affecting the approval rates for these tariff exclusions. We also consider factors that may impact this estimate, such as firm selection into requesting and legitimacy of request. We find that tariff exclusion is increasing in the Republican vote share. Counties with a 10 percentage point higher Republican vote share experience a 10% higher probability of tariff exclusion approval.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikita Lopatin & Beverly Mendoza & Joseph M. Westenberg, 2024. "Section 301 and politics: Analysis of tariff exclusions," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 483-516, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:36:y:2024:i:1:p:483-516
    DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12260
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