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Monetary Policy And Economic Growth In Nigeria: Evidence From Bounds And Bayer-Hanck Cointegration Techniques

Author

Listed:
  • Kingsley Imandojemu
  • Bosede Ngozi Adeleye
  • Babatunde Aina

Abstract

This paper contributes to the monetary policy-economic growth debate by investigating whether monetary policy stimulates economic growth in Nigeria. Using time series data from 1970 to 2018 and deploying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, bounds and the BayerHanck (2013) cointegration tests, evidence from the main and robustness checks show that (1) a significant long-run association exists, and (2) a percentage increase in the monetary policy rate results in 0.055 percentage decline in economic growth, on average, ceteris paribus. In other words, these findings confirm that a statistically significant inverse relation exists between monetary policy and economic growth in Nigeria. Trade openness also exerts asymmetric contemporaneous (0.094) and lag (-0.059) impacts on economic growth at the 1% and 5% significance levels, respectively. Similarly, the inflation rate contemporaneously reduces economic growth (-0.002) at the 1% significance level while its lag impacts are asymmetric and s atistically significant at the 10% and 5% levels, respectively. Policy recommendations are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Kingsley Imandojemu & Bosede Ngozi Adeleye & Babatunde Aina, 2023. "Monetary Policy And Economic Growth In Nigeria: Evidence From Bounds And Bayer-Hanck Cointegration Techniques," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 68(236), pages 81-103, January –.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:journl:v:68:y:2023:i:236:p:81-103
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; economic growth; interest rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E59 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Other

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