IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v7y2023i11p01-18.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of the Determinants of Economic Growth in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Mustapha M. Kime

    (Department of Economics Umar Ibn Ibrahim El-Kanemi College of Education Science and Technology, Bama Borno State, Affiliate University of Maiduguri)

  • Mohammed Modu

    (Department of Economics Umar Ibn Ibrahim El-Kanemi College of Education Science and Technology, Bama Borno State, Affiliate University of Maiduguri)

  • Lawan A. Bukar

    (Department of Economics Umar Ibn Ibrahim El-Kanemi College of Education Science and Technology, Bama Borno State, Affiliate University of Maiduguri)

Abstract

This project examines the determinant of economic growth in Nigeria using time series economic data spanning from 1990 to 2022. Macroeconomic variable used includes foreign direct investment foreign aid population and GDP. The stationarity process of the variables was tested using ADF and PP unit root test. The study also employs Auto regressive distributed lag model in assessing the determinants of economic growth in Nigeria. Johansson cointegration test is applied in testing cointegration relation while direction of causality among the variable was analyzed using granger causality test. Unit root test result reveals that all the variable becomes stationary after first differencing. Finding based on ARDL estimation indicates significant and insignificant impacts of GDP lagged, FDI, POP and AID on economic growth in Nigeria. Cointegration test result reveals the presence of cointegration relation among the variable. Other findings based on the direction of causality shows the absence of causal relationship among the variable. It is recommended that Nigerian Governments should provide an enabling environment to attract foreign direct investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustapha M. Kime & Mohammed Modu & Lawan A. Bukar, 2023. "Evaluation of the Determinants of Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(11), pages 01-18, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:11:p:01-18
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-7-issue-11/01-18.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/evaluation-of-the-determinants-of-economic-growth-in-nigeria/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kevin Honglin Zhang, 2001. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth in China?," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 9(3), pages 679-693, November.
    2. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    3. M. J. Freire-Seren, 2002. "On the relationship between human capital accumulation and economic growth," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(12), pages 805-808.
    4. Chirwa Themba G. & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2016. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 11(2), pages 33-47, December.
    5. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    6. Muhammad Arshad Khan, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth : The Role of Domestic Financial Sector," Finance Working Papers 22205, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    7. Ching-Cheng Chang & Michael Mendy, 2012. "Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(18), pages 1903-1907, December.
    8. Tasew Tadesse, 2011. "Foreign Aid and Economic Growth in Ethiopia: A Cointegration Analysis," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 1(2), pages 88-108, December.
    9. Senbeta, Sisay, 2008. "The nexus between FDI and Total Factor Productivity Growth in Sub Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 31067, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Svetlana Ledyaeva & Mikael Linden, 2008. "Determinants of Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Russian Regions," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 5(1), pages 87-105, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "The effect of electricity losses on GDP in Benin," MPRA Paper 89545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Chirwa, Themba G. & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2016. "What Drives Long-Run Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from South Africa," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(4), pages 429-456.
    3. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The nexus between key macroeconomic determinants and economic growth in Zambia: a dynamic multivariate Granger causality linkage," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 301-327, July.
    4. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Sources of Economic Growth in Zambia: An Empirical Investigation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(2), pages 275-290, April.
    5. Eléazar Zerbo, 2015. "What determines the long-run growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Exploring the role of energy, trade openness and financial development in six countries," Working Papers hal-01238524, HAL.
    6. Apergis, Nicholas & Poufinas, Thomas, 2020. "The role of insurance growth in economic growth: Fresh evidence from a panel of OECD countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    7. Chirwa Themba G. & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2016. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 11(2), pages 33-47, December.
    8. Murach, Michael & Wagner, Helmut & Kim, Jungsuk & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Trajectories to high income: Comparing the growth dynamics in China, South Korea, and Japan with cointegrated VAR models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 492-511.
    9. Naima Chrid & Sami Saafi & Mohamed Chakroun, 2021. "Export Upgrading and Economic Growth: a Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 12(2), pages 811-841, June.
    10. Shaukat, Badiea & Zhu, Qigui & Khan, M. Ijaz, 2019. "Real interest rate and economic growth: A statistical exploration for transitory economies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    11. Utpal Kumar De, 2014. "Globalisation and cointegration among the states and convergence across the continents: A panel data analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 107-121.
    12. Khobai Hlalefang & Hamman Nicolene & Mkhombo Thando & Mhaka Simba & Mavikela Nomahlubi & Phiri Andrew, 2018. "The FDI-Growth Nexus in South Africa: A Re-Examination Using Quantile Regression Approach," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 63(3), pages 33-55, December.
    13. Ali, Sharafat, 2014. "Inflation, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Cointegration Analysis," MPRA Paper 53706, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Yongfu Huang, 2011. "Private investment and financial development in a globalized world," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 43-56, August.
    15. Fatma Ben Slama, 2024. "International Public Sector Accounting Standards and Economic Growth: An International Study of IPSAS Adoption and Experience," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 23(3), pages 483-506, September.
    16. Antràs Pol, 2004. "Is the U.S. Aggregate Production Function Cobb-Douglas? New Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-36, April.
    17. Mussarat Khan, 2016. "Contribution of female human capital in economic growth: an empirical analysis of Pakistan (1972–2012)," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 709-728, March.
    18. Cheah, Chee Keong & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does the growth of islamic bank financing depend on stock market growth? evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 106192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2013. "Do Imports and Foreign Capital Inflows Lead Economic Growth? Cointegration and Causality Analysis in Pakistan," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 14(1), pages 59-81, March.
    20. Ismail Senturk & Fiaz Ahmad Sulehri & Syeda Mehak Ali, 2022. "Financial Development and Innovation Led-Growth: A Case of Selected Developing Countries," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(3), pages 81-97, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:11:p:01-18. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.