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Perspektywy internacjonalizacji waluty Chin

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  • Skopiec, Dominik A.

Abstract

The article examines the prospects for the international use of the Chinese yuan, a currency otherwise known as the renminbi. The author looks at whether or not the yuan stands a chance of becoming an international currency and identifies the key barriers to the process. Skopiec highlights the criteria of national currency internationalization and evaluates their fulfillment in the case of China. The study also discusses the costs and benefits of currency internationalization and their role in determining China’s strategy to turn the yuan into an international currency. The methods applied by the author include a literature study and an analysis of China’s macroeconomic variables as well as statistical data on the international use of the yuan. The author argues that the yuan cannot be classified as an international currency at the moment because its use is limited in terms of the different functions of international money. Moreover, China does not meet several crucial currency internationalization criteria, Skopiec notes, in particular those related to the free flow of capital, the scope of currency convertibility, the type of exchange rate system, and the level of financial market development. The author concludes that the yuan is currently viewed as a potential international currency and one that is poised to become a key currency in the long run provided China carries out a string of reforms. These include the adoption of a new growth model (based on an increased share of consumption and services in GDP), financial system development (through interest rate liberalization and abandonment of restrictions that excessively curb the freedom of financial market operations) and the introduction of a more flexible exchange rate regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Skopiec, Dominik A., 2014. "Perspektywy internacjonalizacji waluty Chin," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2014(1), 28.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:polgne:358741
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.358741
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/358741/files/Skopiec.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Funke & Marc Gronwald, 2008. "The Undisclosed Renminbi Basket: Are the Markets Telling Us Something about Where the Renminbi–US Dollar Exchange Rate is Going?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(12), pages 1581-1598, December.
    2. Elias Papaioannou & Richard Portes, 2008. "Costs and benefits of running an international currency," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 348, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Arvind Subramanian, 2011. "Renminbi Rules: The Conditional Imminence of the Reserve Currency Transition," Working Paper Series WP11-14, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    4. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2012. "Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 27, pages 329-365.
    5. Menzie Chinn & Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2007. "Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?," NBER Chapters, in: G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, pages 283-338, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Nicholas Lardy & Patrick Douglass, 2011. "Capital Account Liberalization and the Role of the Renminbi," Working Paper Series WP11-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    7. Eichengreen, Barry, 2012. "Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199642472, Decembrie.
    8. Benjamin Cohen, 2012. "The Benefits and Costs of an International Currency: Getting the Calculus Right," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 13-31, February.
    9. Shahin Vallée, 2012. "The internationalisation path of the renminbi," Bruegel Working Papers 715, Bruegel.
    10. Hans Genberg, 2011. "Currency internationalisation: analytical and policy issues," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Currency internationalisation: lessons from the global financial crisis and prospects for the future in Asia and the Pacific, volume 61, pages 221-230, Bank for International Settlements.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacek Suder, 2024. "Perspektywy internacjonalizacji chińskiego renminbi," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 55(6), pages 785-808.

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