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Acreage Response, Expected Price Functions, And Endogenous Price Expectations

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  • Choi, Jung-Sup
  • Helmberger, Peter G.

Abstract

Taking the price of futures as a proxy for expected price, this article treats acreage planted to soybean, the price of futures, and other variables as jointly dependent. A futures price equation is embedded in a simultaneous equations model along with the consumption demand and acreage response. The model is estimated using both ordinary and three-stage least squares. Estimated price elasticities for consumption demand, demand for stocks, and acreage response equal, respectively, -.5, -1.8, and +.2 (short run) and +.59 (long run).

Suggested Citation

  • Choi, Jung-Sup & Helmberger, Peter G., 1993. "Acreage Response, Expected Price Functions, And Endogenous Price Expectations," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 1-10, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:30812
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.30812
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Hyunseok Kim & GianCarlo Moschini, 2018. "The Dynamics of Supply: U.S. Corn and Soybeans in the Biofuel Era," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 94(4), pages 593-613.
    3. Weng, Weizhe & Cobourn, Kelly M. & Kemanian, Armen R. & Boyle, Kevin J. & Shi, Yuning & Stachelek, Joseph & White, Charles, 2020. "Quantifying Co-Benefits of Water Quality Policies: An Integrated Assessment Model of Nitrogen Management," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304667, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Stigler, Matthieu M., 2018. "Supply response at the field-level: disentangling area and yield effects," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274343, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Holt, Matthew T., 1999. "A Linear Approximate Acreage Allocation Model," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Di Gioia, Leonardo & Lamonaca, Emilia, 2021. "Price responsiveness of supply and acreage in the EU vegetable oil markets: Policy implications," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    7. Hendricks, Nathan P. & Janzen, Joseph P. & Smith, Aaron, 2013. "Futures Prices in Supply Analysis Reconsidered," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150696, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Hodjo, Manzamasso & Dalton, Timothy & Nakelse, Tebila, 2021. "Cereal Land Allocation Under Weather and Price Uncertainties in West Africa," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315177, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Md Zabid Iqbal & Bruce A. Babcock, 2018. "Global growing‐area elasticities of key agricultural crops estimated using dynamic heterogeneous panel methods," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(6), pages 681-690, November.

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