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An Analysis Of The Role Of Futures Prices, Cash Prices And Government Programs In Acreage Response


  • Chavas, Jean-Paul
  • Pope, Rulon D.
  • Kao, Robert S.


An integrated investigation of futures price, cash price, and government programs is presented in the context of an econometric model of acreage supply response for U.S. corn and soybeans. The analysis refines the role of different sources of price information in the farmers' acreage decision. It is found that the government corn support price program plays a major role in corn and soybean production decisions. Also, the results indicate that futures prices are not good proxies for expected future cash prices in the presence of government programs. This raises questions about the information efficiency of futures prices when government intervenes in the market place.

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  • Chavas, Jean-Paul & Pope, Rulon D. & Kao, Robert S., 1983. "An Analysis Of The Role Of Futures Prices, Cash Prices And Government Programs In Acreage Response," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(01), July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32481

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    1. J. P. Houck & M. E. Ryan, 1972. "Supply Analysis for Corn in the United States: The Impact of Changing Government Programs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 54(2), pages 184-191.
    2. Houck, James P. & Ryan, Mary E., 1972. "Supply Analysis For Corn In The United States: The Impact Of Changing Government Programs," Staff Papers 13554, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
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