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Impacts of Chinese Tariff on World Soybean Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Sabala, Ethan
  • Devadoss, Stephen

Abstract

China targeted U.S. soybeans, among other commodities, for its recent retaliatory tariff chiefly because of the sheer volume of its imports from the United States. We develop a theoretical and empirical spatial equilibrium trade model to analyze the effects of the 25% Chinese soybean tariff on the United States, China, and nine other major soybean trading regions. Both the United States and China incur welfare losses as a result of the tariff, but Brazil experiences a large net gain. The United States mitigates some of its losses by reallocating trade to other importers, but at a cost to smaller exporters such as Canada.

Suggested Citation

  • Sabala, Ethan & Devadoss, Stephen, 2019. "Impacts of Chinese Tariff on World Soybean Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 44(2), May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:287975
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.287975
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Morgan, Stephen & Arita, Shawn & Beckman, Jayson & Ahsan, Saquib & Russell, Dylan & Jarrell, Philip & Kenner, Bart, 2022. "The Economic Impacts of Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Agriculture," USDA Miscellaneous 316892, United States Department of Agriculture.
    2. Asci, Serhat & Ramaswamy, Karthik & Devadoss, Stephen & Konduru, Srinivasa P., 2020. "Modern Time Trade Wars: Chinese Retaliatory Tariffs vs California’s Tree Nuts industry," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304532, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Joseph P. Janzen & Nathan P. Hendricks, 2020. "Are Farmers Made Whole by Trade Aid?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 205-226, June.
    4. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan, 2022. "The impact of trade policy on soybean futures in China," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1152-1163, June.
    5. Adjemian, Michael K. & Smith, Aaron & He, Wendi, 2021. "Estimating the market effect of a trade war: The case of soybean tariffs," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Amani Elobeid & Miguel Carriquiry & Jerome Dumortier & David Swenson & Dermot J. Hayes, 2021. "China‐U.S. trade dispute and its impact on global agricultural markets, the U.S. economy, and greenhouse gas emissions," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 647-672, September.
    7. Ridley, William & Devadoss, Stephen, 2024. "Determinants of Policy Responses in the US–China Tit-for-Tat Trade War," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 0(Preprint), January.
    8. Gu, Xin & Zhang, Weiqiang & Cheng, Sang, 2021. "How do investors in Chinese stock market react to external uncertainty? An event study to the Sino-US disputes," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Lee, Meongsu & Westhoff, Patrick, 2020. "The U.S.-China Trade war and Impact on Land Returning to Soybean Production from the Conservation Reserve Program," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304518, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Yang, Yao & Karali, Berna, 2022. "How far is too far for volatility transmission?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).

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